447
FXUS62 KFFC 011847
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
147 PM EST Thu Jan 1 2026



...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 133 PM EST Thu Jan 1 2026

- Rain will return late Friday through Saturday, with isolated
  thunderstorms possible.

- The probability of severe thunderstorms is low. Rainfall totals
  will likely range from a half inch to an inch and a half.

- Temperatures will remain above-normal into next week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 133 PM EST Thu Jan 1 2026

Today & Tonight:

Ample sunshine will bring temperatures into the upper 50s to
lower 60s across much of the County Warning Area this afternoon.
The mid-levels of the atmosphere are not as dry today, so daytime
mixing will not drop relative humidity as low as previous days.
Thus, no hazardous fire weather conditions are in place. The
warmer weather today (plus increasing cirrus clouds overnight)
will support milder overnight/early Friday morning temperatures --
in the mid-30s to lower 40s -- compared to temperatures last
night/early this morning.

Friday:

Synoptic-scale changes will be afoot right before the weekend.
Flow aloft will become zonal tomorrow, with a jet
streak/disturbance developing over the Southeast. A surface low
pressure system will develop in response, bringing Gulf moisture
inland over the CWA late Friday afternoon through the overnight
period. Light rain could begin across the western half or so of
the state on Friday afternoon, but ensemble guidance and longer-
range hi-res models generally agree that the main influx of
moisture will occur Friday night into early Saturday morning.
Cannot rule out isolated thunderstorms during the Friday overnight
period, as the moisture, lift from the low pressure system, and
ascent aloft could lead to at least a small amount elevated
instability. Have capped thunder chances at 20% as a result.
Typical, non-severe thunderstorm hazards -- lightning and
localized gusty winds -- would be possible. Friday will be warm
with highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 133 PM EST Thu Jan 1 2026

By Friday...high pressure is losing its control over the area as
the next low pressure system pushes into the southeastern U.S. By
daybreak Friday the closed low center is expected to be along the
TX/OK border pushing east into the lower MS river valley through
Fri evening. Its associated frontal boundary will already be
across LA/MS and begins to push precip into West GA by midday
Friday. Precip continues to move east across the area with all of
north and central GA seeing some precip by sunset. This system
continues moving south and east through the state with the closed
low center moving into the Carolinas by 00z Sun. We will still
see some backside precip Sat night slowly diminishing through
early Sun morning with things clearing out by daybreak Sun.
Instability indices with this system are fairly weak so not
expecting any severe storms. A weak high pressure ridge builds
back in to the area for Sun/Mon but we do see some increased
moisture move back into the area from the north Mon night/Tue.
Currently it looks like most locations will just see increased
cloud cover but some locations across extreme north GA could see a
showers or two Tue night into Wed.

Temps in the extended period will be a bit warm for this time of
year with highs in the upper 50s to 60s and lows mainly in the 40s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM EST Thu Jan 1 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Cirrus
(upper-level clouds) will increase overnight through tomorrow
(Friday). West winds at 5-10 kts this afternoon will slacken
overnight, becoming WSW/SW at 4-8 kts tomorrow.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

Martin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          40  62  48  56 /   0   0 100  90
Atlanta         43  62  51  60 /   0  20 100  80
Blairsville     34  57  41  52 /   0  10  90  70
Cartersville    39  61  47  59 /   0  20 100  70
Columbus        39  65  52  70 /   0  20  90  90
Gainesville     42  59  49  54 /   0  10 100  80
Macon           38  65  49  69 /   0   0  80 100
Rome            41  63  50  63 /   0  30 100  60
Peachtree City  40  62  49  63 /   0  20 100  90
Vidalia         40  65  50  69 /   0   0  40 100

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Martin
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...Martin