Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
987
FXUS62 KFFC 261003
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
603 AM EDT Sun Jul 26 2026
...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A few thunderstorms are possible this afternoon across central
Georgia. The main threat will be gusty winds and frequent
lightning.
- Drier conditions are expected over the next few days though
northwest flow could increase thunderstorm potential during
the afternoon and evening hours.
- Heat concerns rebound in earnest next week with an upward
trend in temperatures and heat index values by Monday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 422 AM EDT Sun Jul 26 2026
Scattered showers this morning will eventually give way to a
pleasant afternoon as the front that`s brought generally messy
weather across the southeast begins to push off the coast. Mostly
cloudy conditions will limit the amount of instability we generate
this afternoon and as a result thunderstorm activity should be very
isolated. Highs will climb into the upper 80s and low 90s across the
CWA.
Temps begin to climb tomorrow back towards hot and humid. Afternoon
thunderstorm coverage will again be minimal under northwest flow,
but a few of the models are showing an MCS riding the ridge. As of
right now, the trend dissipates that system in TN before it can make
it down to our area but with increasingly warm conditions and mostly
sunny skies there is the concern that those storms might not die out
like the models are calling for. We`ll need to keep an eye on the
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 422 AM EDT Sun Jul 26 2026
For most of the upcoming week and into the start of next weekend,
Georgia will be between a strong ridge over the south-central US,
and troughing over the Eastern Seaboard. On Tuesday, a warm and
humid airmass will remain parked over the region, allowing high
temps to climb into the mid to upper 90s, with heat index values in
the 100-108 range. While most of the day looks to be rain-free, some
of the guidance has a shortwave riding along the top of the ridge
and dropping across the area late in the day to overnight. Depending
on the timing of this, it could bring a round of strong to severe
storms through the area, as we typically see in northwest flow
regimes.
Model guidance is starting to get into better agreement on a frontal
boundary also pushing through the area on Wednesday, which would
allow a drier and relatively cooler airmass to spread over the
region through the end of the work week. High temperatures would
still be in the low to mid 90s, but dewpoints in the 60s would keep
heat index values near the ambient temperature. With PWAT values
likely falling to around 1 inch, rainfall chances will be limited
from late Wednesday through Friday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 602 AM EDT Sun Jul 26 2026
MVFR conditions are prevailing this morning with showers in the
vicinity. A few obs of IFR are possible between now and 15Z. Cigs
will slowly begin to rise after that with SHRA coming to an end.
Expects to return to VFR after 19Z. Winds will be out of the WNW at
5 to 10kts gusting to 18kts after 17Z.
//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Medium to Low on SHRA and IFR
High on all other elements.
Vaughn
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens 91 72 93 73 / 30 10 10 0
Atlanta 90 74 93 76 / 10 0 0 0
Blairsville 84 66 87 68 / 10 0 10 0
Cartersville 90 72 93 74 / 20 0 10 0
Columbus 93 75 96 76 / 60 10 10 0
Gainesville 90 71 93 74 / 10 0 10 0
Macon 92 74 95 75 / 30 10 0 10
Rome 90 71 93 73 / 20 0 10 0
Peachtree City 90 72 93 74 / 20 0 10 0
Vidalia 94 74 96 75 / 50 40 0 0
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....Culver
AVIATION...Vaughn