507
FXUS62 KFFC 100534
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
134 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025



...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 127 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

    - Breezy and mild weather will persist on Friday.

    - A dry weather pattern will linger through next week, and
      combine with warming temperatures to favor continued or
      worsening drought conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 127 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

This Evening & Tonight:

A upper level shortwave sliding from northern Alabama into Georgia
will combine with diurnal heating to generate a few showers over
northwest Georgia through 11 PM today. Dry conditions, with surface
dewpoints in the low 50s, will ensure that any shower activity is
elevated (not surface based). Meanwhile limited (< 500 J/kg) and
narrow CAPE profiles will greatly hinder the potential for lightning
with any convection. Isolated wind gusts near 35 mph could occur due
to evaporative cooling as precipitation falls into a dry boundary
layer. Severe weather is not anticipated.

As the shortwave continues towards the southeast overnight it may
will interact with a developing low along the Florida Coast, leading
to isolated showers in central Georgia. Any rainfall should largely
occur south of Macon and be spotty in nature. Significant wetting
rainfall is not expected.

Overnight low temperatures will dip into the 40s in the mountains,
and 50s across the rest of the state.

Thursday:

High pressure over the Northeast will continue to produce wedging in
the lee of the Appalachians. For Georgia this setup will lead to
continued northeast winds and dry conditions. Wind gusts in the 20
to 25 mph range are expected between 9 AM and 3 PM on Friday as a
well mixed boundary layer brings mid level winds to the surface.
Some edits were made to the forecast to account for the NBM`s high
relative humidity bias on days with strong boundary layer mixing and
low surface dewpoints. For these edits we used the NBM 10th
percentile, which lowered afternoon relative humidity values down to
around 40% (well above thresholds for fire weather concerns of 25%).
Friday should be the coolest day of the week with CAA limiting
afternoon high temperatures to the low 70s for most areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 127 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Any meaningful rainfall across North and Central GA appears unlikely
over the next 7 days. Mid to upper troughing will still be present
over the Southeast though hugging the coastline at the start of the
period. As this feature shifts eastward, broad ridging will take up
residence across much of the Central US and stick around through at
least mid-week next week. The strengthening of this feature will
lead to a gradual rise in daytime temperatures each day. Daytime
highs will start off in the mid 70s on Saturday warming to the mid
80s Monday through Wednesday. Expect temperatures to be 5-10 degrees
cooler in the northeast GA mountains. Overnight temperatures will
follow suit, starting off in the upper 40s to low 50s rising to the
60s next week.

The latest 6-10 day precipitation outlook (valid October 14-18)
indicates a medium probability (roughly ~40-60% chance) that
observed precipitation will be well below normal for North and
Central Georgia. Areas of D2 Drought (or Severe Drought) were
expanded across portions of west-central Georgia with the latest
Drought Monitor.  Given the lack of rainfall in the forecast,
drought conditions are likely to remain the same or worsen.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 127 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Gusty winds will be the main story with gusts up to 20-25kt
expected through at least 20z tomorrow and potentially through
22z. Expecting CIGS to clear overnight and into the morning before
a SCT deck ~6000-7000ft sets up tomorrow afternoon with no
precipitation expected. Easterly winds begin to dampen into
tomorrow evening with skies clearing again.


//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Medium confidence on wind gusts lasting until 22z.
High confidence on all other elements.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          53  74  52  78 /  10   0  10  10
Atlanta         56  77  54  79 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     46  72  45  73 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    52  77  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        58  79  53  82 /  10   0   0   0
Gainesville     54  75  52  79 /   0   0   0  10
Macon           56  77  54  80 /  20   0  10  10
Rome            52  79  51  81 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  54  77  51  79 /  10   0   0   0
Vidalia         59  77  57  80 /  30  10  20  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Albright
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...Hernandez