Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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981
FNUS74 KEWX 102322
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Karnes 8361...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
622 PM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 CDT on September 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Showers from earlier this afternoon appeared to have largely missed
the burn area. However, there is still a very low chance for a stray
shower through 8 PM. Winds will generally remain from the southeast
this evening, but could be briefly gusty and erratic from any nearby
showers. Excellent humidity recovery is in store tonight with near
100 percent humidity shortly before sunrise. It will be hot again
on Friday with an afternoon high near 99 degrees and minimum humidity
levels near 37 percent. There will be another chance for late
afternoon into early evening showers and storms again on Friday.
Another hot day is anticipated on Saturday with a high near 100
degrees and minimum humidity levels near 38 percent. As of now,
it looks like any rain chances will remain east of the burn area
on Saturday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
CWR.................3 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 7 mph with some evening
                    gusts to 11 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph with some evening
                    gusts near 14 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near showers early in the evening.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (36000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........39     26     11     14     13     39
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............90     86     83     82     80     79
RH..............63     65     76     80     85     88
20 ft wind......SE 10  SE 10  SE 9   SE 7   S 6    S 6
20 ft wind gust.15     16     16     14     13     14
Eye level wind..SE 7   SE 6   SE 5   SE 4   S 4    S 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.11     11     10     8      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....3300   2100   1000   700    600    500
Transport wind..SE 13  SE 14  S 14   S 13   S 10   S 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..36     25     13     8      5      3
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................2 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 99.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 3 mph increasing to
                    southeast up to 8 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 10 mph early in the morning,
                    then becoming south 6 to 12 mph in the late
                    morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph increasing to around 16 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (69100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........25     21     11     17     34     44
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............78     78     87     92     97     98
RH..............91     91     68     54     42     37
20 ft wind......S 5    S 5    S 8    S 8    S 8    SE 12
20 ft wind gust.12     10     14     13     13     16
Eye level wind..S 3    S 3    S 5    S 5    S 5    SE 7
Eye lvl wnd gst.7      6      8      8      8      10
Mix hgt (ft)....400    900    2500   4900   5700   5700
Transport wind..S 7    S 6    S 8    S 8    S 10   S 14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3      5      12     29     51     69
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
CWR.................2 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 20 mph decreasing to 9 to 10 mph
                    after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (54200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........37     11     38     22     5      7
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............95     87     83     82     81     80
RH..............49     68     80     85     85     85
20 ft wind......SE 14  SE 14  SE 13  SE 13  S 12   S 10
20 ft wind gust.20     21     21     20     20     20
Eye level wind..SE 8   SE 8   SE 8   SE 8   S 7    S 6
Eye lvl wnd gst.12     13     13     12     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....3400   2300   1500   1000   800    600
Transport wind..SE 18  SE 20  S 18   S 16   S 14   S 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..54     40     24     14     9      5
Ventrate Cat....FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 99.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 7 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (96400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........10     17     8      10     17     28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............79     78     87     94     97     98
RH..............88     91     68     51     43     38
20 ft wind......S 8    S 9    S 12   S 13   S 14   SE 15
20 ft wind gust.16     16     17     17     18     20
Eye level wind..S 5    S 5    S 7    S 8    S 8    SE 9
Eye lvl wnd gst.10     10     10     10     11     12
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1100   3000   5400   6300   6400
Transport wind..S 8    S 9    S 12   S 13   S 15   S 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3      8      27     59     81     96
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD   GOOD

$$
Forecaster...24
Requested by...B Burns
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621616.0/EWX
.DELDT 09/10/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu