791
FXUS64 KEWX 240039 AAA
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
739 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...New AVIATION (00Z TAFS)...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 115 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Key Message:

- Isolated showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon over the
Coastal Plains and I-35 Corridor.

Our stagnant weather pattern will continue in the short term. An
upper level ridge covers the eastern half of the country and a
trough is over the west. High pressure over the Gulf has the low
level flow from the southeast. This is reinforcing a warm, moist
airmass over South-Central Texas. Convection is a bit suppressed
today and so far is east of our CWA. We still expect a few showers
or thunderstorms to move into our Coastal Plains counties later this
afternoon, but it shouldn`t last into the evening. Tonight should be
a lot like the past few nights with increasing cloudiness from the
southeast spreading to the northwest. This will keep temperatures
warm with lows mostly in the 70s. There won`t be any significant
changes Tuesday. The southeasterly flow will continue with a slight
chance for convection from the Coastal Plains to I-35 during the
afternoon. High temperatures will be near normal again. Tuesday
night will be a repeat of tonight. It`s a typical summer pattern.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 115 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Key Message:

-Low rain chances across the coastal plains and I-35 corridor
Wednesday, with low rain chances continuing over the coastal plains
into early next week.

Ridging over the eastern US and troughing over the west
will be in place Wednesday with southeasterly flow over South
Central Texas. Similar to previous days, precipitation chances
remain over the coastal plains into the I-35 corridor through the
early evening. Low precipitation chances remain into early next week
over the coastal plains, but should see slightly drier and warmer
conditions Thursday and beyond as mid-level ridging shifts closer to
our area. Highs creep back up into the mid to upper 90s this weekend
with triple digit temperatures along the Rio Grande. Lows will
mainly be in the 70s each night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 638 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Wash, rinse, repeat. Expect MVFR ceilings to return once again after
midnight and to continue through mid morning before returning to VFR.
Winds may remain somewhat elevated through late this evening, but
should fall off to less than 5 kts at all locations except DRT. Winds
will pick back up by mid morning Tuesday with VFR ceilings.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              74  95  73  94 /   0  20   0  20
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  74  94  73  93 /   0  20   0  20
New Braunfels Muni Airport     73  92  72  92 /   0  20   0  20
Burnet Muni Airport            72  92  71  91 /  10  10   0  10
Del Rio Intl Airport           76  97  75  97 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        73  94  72  93 /   0  10   0  10
Hondo Muni Airport             73  92  71  92 /   0  10   0  10
San Marcos Muni Airport        73  92  71  92 /   0  20   0  20
La Grange - Fayette Regional   74  93  72  92 /   0  30  10  40
San Antonio Intl Airport       75  92  74  91 /   0  20   0  10
Stinson Muni Airport           75  93  74  92 /   0  20   0  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...05
Long-Term...27
Aviation...MMM