951
FXUS64 KEWX 191929
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
229 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 217 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Little change in the weather pattern is expected through the short
term portion of the forecast. Thicker cloud cover with cloud bases
generally around 4K feet agl continue this afternoon out west along
the Rio Grande. We are noting a few light echoes on radar data over
the southern Edwards Plateau, but suspect little if any rain is
reaching the ground. Areas beneath the thicker clouds will see highs
in the mid 70s to lower 80s, with mid to upper 80s elsewhere.

We could see a few showers develop late tonight through Sunday
morning along the Rio Grande given the moist, upslope flow in the
lower levels. Otherwise, look for a slight decrease in cloud cover
on Sunday compared to today, with afternoon highs in the 80s. Low
cloud development is anticipated Sunday night into Monday morning
for the Rio Grande plains, southern Edwards Plateau and western Hill
Country. Overnight lows will vary quite a bit with upper 60s to near
70 along the Rio Grande where clouds will be present. Farther east
into the I-35 and Highway 77 corridors where clear skies and lower
dew points can be found, lows will dip into the lower to mid 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 217 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

An upper level ridge will dominate our weather through the long
term period. Dry weather will continue. Models show almost no chance
for rain with the highest POP in the long term being 2%. Along with
the rain free forecast we can also expect a warming trend. This will
be especially true during mid-week. Highs will reach the upper 80s
to lower 90s by Wednesday. This is well above normal, but short of
records. It will be more like mid-September than late October.


&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Skies have trended back to VFR as cloud bases continue to lift with
daytime heating. Clouds will remain thicker out west at DRT through
the period, with MVFR returning around 08Z. For the I-35 sites, we
kept the forecast VFR for now as the low-levels remain drier. Gusty
southeast winds will persist at DRT, then become easterly around
sunset. For the I-35 sites, east to southeast winds through this
afternoon and evening will trend northeast overnight into Sunday
morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              57  86  57  87 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  55  86  54  87 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     59  88  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            56  83  57  84 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           68  84  69  85 /  20  20   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        54  84  54  86 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             61  86  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        56  86  54  87 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   56  85  53  87 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       62  86  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           63  87  61  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...Platt
Long-Term...05
Aviation...Platt