351
FXUS64 KEWX 301833
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
133 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm and humid Sunday and Monday

- Chances for showers and thunderstorm Tuesday through Friday

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

A low amplitude upper level ridge is over TX today with flow from
the west-southwest. Low level flow is from the south to southwest.
The airmass over South-Central Texas remains warm and moist.
Temperatures across our CWA were in the low to mid 80s and dewpoints
from the mid 60s to the mid 70s. The upper ridge will move slowly
across the state through the short term period. This should suppress
any convection and keep the weather dry. The airmass will remain
warm and moist. Overnight lows tonight and tomorrow night will be
from the upper 60s to middle 70s. Highs on Sunday will be from the
upper 80s to middle 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Saturday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

The ridge will hold on for one more day Monday keeping the weather
dry. Tuesday the ridge will begin to break down. Deeper moisture
will surge into the region increasing PW values. The increased
moisture and the weakening subsidence will allow showers and
thunderstorms to form during the afternoon and evening starting
Tuesday and then each afternoon and evening through Friday. This
pattern is looking very summer-like. It should be ordinary
convection with only moderate rainfall and wind gusts.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1234 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

On and off MVFR CIGs expected for a few more hours for all sites
except KAUS where VFR CIGs remain. Continue to see a relatively
thicker than anticipated cloud deck streaming in off northern
Mexico. There is some radar returns with this however nothing
seems to be reaching the ground based on obs. Added TEMPOs for the
fluctuating CIGs until about 20Z. Should see VFR conditions
return before another cloud deck forms overnight dropping CIGs
back to MVFR with KDRT and KAUS being the exception and remaining
in VFR. Conditions should improve late morning with increasing
wind speeds as well for all terminals. Winds should generally be
S to SSE anywhere from 5 to 10 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              72  93  74  94 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  73  93  75  94 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     72  91  73  92 /   0   0   0  10
Burnet Muni Airport            70  90  72  90 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           74  96  76  96 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        72  92  73  92 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             71  89  73  90 /   0   0   0  10
San Marcos Muni Airport        72  92  73  93 /   0   0   0  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   74  93  74  93 /   0   0   0  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       72  91  74  91 /   0   0   0  10
Stinson Muni Airport           73  91  74  92 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...CJM