Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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331
FXUS64 KEWX 030617
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1217 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cool weather continues through Friday.

- Scattered rain showers Wednesday afternoon through Thursday and
  Friday.

- Drier and warmer weekend weather.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1120 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

West-southwesterly mid-level flow continues to send Pacific
moisture into the region in the form of mid to upper level clouds
this evening. Mostly dry weather is expected today with the
exception possibly being over the Coastal Plains late this
afternoon through Wednesday night as surface moisture increases
ahead of the next approaching trough. Showers and perhaps a rumble
of thunder will develop over the Coastal Plains towards sunset
Wednesday and primarily remain over this region through early
Thursday morning. A long wave trough approaches the Panhandle on
Thursday, sending a series of weak shortwaves through the west-
southwesterly flow aloft. This will result in much cooler
temperatures Thursday along with showers and some isolated
thunderstorms through the day.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1120 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

The aforementioned trough will remain stretched out over the Baha of
California on Friday, resulting in continued surface moisture
teaming up with a mid-level disturbance and moisture to produce
showers again on Friday. This long wave trough should finally eject
out over the southern plains on Saturday, allowing a nice drying and
warming trend for the weekend. Beyond the weekend, a warmer than
normal pattern is expected to develop through the middle of December
with minimal rain chances.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

With surface dew point values in the low 30s, it will take some
time for the return flow to get clouds back into the I-35
corridor. VFR skies should make it through around 12Z around
SAT/SSF, and probably a couple hours later for AUS. First guess is
a low MVFR CIG upon arrival, but can`t rule out IFR or LIFR cigs
and fog briefly at daybreak. Steady S/SSW boundary layer winds
will continue deepening the Gulf moisture layer, so we`d expect an
MVFR CIG to carry out through the afternoon. Moisture continues to
deepen into the evening, and there looks to be enough pooled
moisture and WSW flow aloft to support some light shower activity
or drizzle through the evening. A cold front could approach AUS by
around 06Z and possibly bring better mixing to lift CIGs and VSBYs
slightly.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              58  40  66  49 /   0   0  10  30
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  57  35  64  47 /   0   0  10  40
New Braunfels Muni Airport     59  37  64  49 /   0   0  10  30
Burnet Muni Airport            56  39  67  45 /   0   0   0  20
Del Rio Intl Airport           63  44  69  50 /   0   0   0  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        55  37  67  46 /   0   0  10  30
Hondo Muni Airport             60  37  69  50 /   0   0   0  20
San Marcos Muni Airport        59  36  65  48 /   0   0  20  30
La Grange - Fayette Regional   55  38  63  52 /   0   0  20  50
San Antonio Intl Airport       60  40  65  51 /   0   0  10  20
Stinson Muni Airport           60  41  67  53 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MMM
LONG TERM....MMM
AVIATION...18