Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
618 FXUS64 KEWX 111045 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 545 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Low humidity, cooler mornings, and warm afternoons this weekend. - Continued warm afternoons and dry next week && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Sunday) Issued at 100 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 High pressure to the northeast allows dry air to filter into the region overnight, Resulting in another cool morning with lows upper 50s north to low 60s south and highs once again right around 90. Expect a near repeat for Sunday`s forecast as we remain influenced by this high. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 100 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 By Sunday evening, low level moisture is forecast to gradually increase into Monday. The upper level ridge aloft strengthens Monday through Wednesday, centering over or just east of our area. By Tuesday global models continue to indicate H5 heights of 594dm which translates to the 99th percentile for this time of year aka well above normal high temperatures for the middle of October. Average highs are in the 80s however we will continue to see highs approach and exceed 90 degrees through all next week. Thus our pattern of warmer afternoon highs and cooler mornings will continue. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 545 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 VFR flying through Sunday. Winds at the I-35 sites, light and VRBL become easterly at 5 to 9 KTs by midday, then southerly tonight into Sunday. Winds at KDRT become southeasterly at 8 to 12 KTs later this morning, then easterly around 5 KTs tonight. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 100 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 The lack of significant rainfall over the past month for most locations has led to flash drought conditions. Dry conditions over the next week along with low afternoon humidity, especially Saturday and Sunday, will continue to promote the drying of fuels across the region. Despite relatively weak winds, elevated fire weather conditions are possible the next several days, especially along and east of the I-35 corridor where fuels are more drought stressed. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 93 64 93 65 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 92 61 92 63 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 92 61 92 62 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 89 62 89 63 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 92 66 92 68 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 91 62 91 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 92 60 91 63 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 93 61 93 62 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 92 61 92 63 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 92 64 91 65 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 93 64 92 66 / 0 0 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...CJM LONG TERM....CJM AVIATION...04