805
FXUS64 KEWX 091943
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
143 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 142 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

An upper level trough has lifted into the central Great Plains and
the flow over Texas is from the southwest. At the surface, the cold
front has moved out into the Gulf, and high pressure is settling
over the region. Winds are light and generally from the north. A
cooler and much drier airmass is moving in. Temperatures are mostly
cooler and dewpoints 25 to 30 degrees lower than 24 hours ago. The
upper flow will turn zonal during the this period. The surface high
will remain in the area. Winds will be light tonight, but cold
advection will be played out and low temperatures will be about the
same Sunday morning as they were this morning. Abundant sunshine
Sunday will warm temperatures back into the 80s. Those mainly clear
skies will allow good radiational cooling Sunday night and lows
Monday morning will be about the same as Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 142 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

Mild, above climatological average, temperatures will continue
across South-Central Texas through the long term period. The flow
aloft starts off zonal in the long term. A shortwave will then pass
to the north across the Central Plains through midweek. This system
will be just enough to allow for a weak cold front to move across
the region on Wednesday. Surface high pressure and a northerly flow
behind the front will help to reinforce a slightly drier airmass
across the region. The drier air should allow for slightly cooler
and more refreshing nights/mornings into Friday while the afternoon
highs remain mild with only a slight dip by a few degrees through
Thursday afternoon. The flow aloft turns more northwesterly into
Friday and the start of upcoming weekend. This southwesterly flow
aloft combined with returning south-southeasterly low-level winds
with surface high pressure settling across the northern Gulf coast,
results in the return of a more humid airmass and an increase in
cloud cover. Rain chances remain nil besides from perhaps a stray
(~5%) opportunity on Wednesday with the front and again late in the
forecast period with the returning gulf moisture.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1149 AM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

After a couple of days of less than optimal flying weather, high
pressure is moving in, and all terminals will be VFR for the next
TAF period. Winds will be less than 10 kts. In the Austin and San
Antonio areas the wind direction will be from the north while at DRT
there will be varying directions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              58  84  58  83 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  57  83  56  83 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     59  87  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            56  81  53  80 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           55  83  57  86 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        56  81  52  81 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             58  84  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        57  84  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   59  84  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       60  85  61  85 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           61  87  61  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...05
Long-Term...Brady
Aviation...05