952
FNUS74 KEPZ 181639
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Sacaton...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1039 AM MDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on July 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will continue for Sunday with a
continued threat for heavy rainfall and flash flooding, especially
considering the burn scar. Rainfall amounts of 0.25-0.50" will be
common but with a risk of much heavier. Outside of storms, winds
will be light with increasing cloud coverage this afternoon. Highs
will be below normal. Smoke transport will vary in direction with
poor venting. Shower and thunderstorm chances will continue for
Monday, but the risk for heavy rainfall will begin to decrease.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming mostly
                    sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Variable less than 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (29000 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........39     39     8      56     56     71
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   S CHC  DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      20     80     80     90
Temp............50     57     66     69     67     63
RH..............92     84     57     48     53     70
20 ft wind......SE 0   SE 0   E 2    SE 2   SE 2   SW 2
20 ft wind gust.3      3      6      8      8      9
Mix hgt (ft)....600    2000   5000   6000   3600   3200
Transport wind..W 6    NE 6   E 5    E 5    SW 6   E 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3      10     20     28     18     16
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest 7 to
                    9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3300 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........80     80     73     44     44     29
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).40     40     20     10     10     10
Temp............64     63     57     56     54     52
RH..............65     71     85     83     83     88
20 ft wind......NW 2   NW 2   NW 0   W 0    W 0    NW 0
20 ft wind gust.9      9      6      5      5      6
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   700    600    600    600    600
Transport wind..NW 7   SW 7   W 6    NW 7   NW 7   W 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11     4      3      3      4      5
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
 thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (41000 knot-ft) .

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........39        34        60        71
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE      S CHC     DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Chc of pcpn (%).30        30        90        90
Temp............51        61        70        65
RH..............91        71        49        60
20 FT wind......NW 2G7    N 3G9     N 3G9     W 2G10
Mix hgt (ft)....600       2800      6800      4600
Transport wind..N 7       NE 8      E 7       S 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4         22        41        32
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      FAIR      POOR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs
in the lower 70s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 50. Highs in the lower 70s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...NMSDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617478.2/EPZ
.DELDT 07/18/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov