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FNUS74 KEPZ 131951
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Trout Fire Severity UAS...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
151 PM MDT Wed Aug 13 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on August 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms will develop across the Gila Region again today, but
activity will be more isolated and weaker than yesterday, and
initiation will be somewhat delayed. We still should clear out by
sunset. For tomorrow (Thu), expect a slight uptick in thunderstorm
coverage versus today, but again, not as bad as what we saw on Tue.
Storms should initiate on the Black Range around Noon, then move
westward. Storms may also crop up along the Pinos Altos Range
around 1 to 2 PM. Overall thunderstorm chances look to increase
again Friday and into the weekend.


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Numerous showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of thunder...67 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Heat index..........Mid to upper-80s.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
SUNSET..............1958 / 7:58 PM MDT (Silver City, NM)

TIME (MDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........25     21     31     31     66
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      30     50     70
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      30     50     70
Temp............63     77     86     86     84
RH..............58     36     24     26     29
Heat index (F)..M      M      M      M      M
Surface wind....NW 2   NW 2   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
Surface wnd gst.3      8      9      9      12

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...42 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Heat index..........NA.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

SUNRISE.............0636 / 6:36 AM MDT (Silver City, NM)

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........48     48     54     56     56     58
Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).40     40     30     20     20     20
Chc of thdr (%).40     40     30     20     20     20
Temp............80     74     70     65     62     59
RH..............33     41     47     56     62     69
Heat index (F)..M      M      M      M      M      M
Surface wind....NW 4   NW 4   NW 4   N 3    N 3    N 3
Surface wnd gst.12     12     8      7      7      6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of thunder...87 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Heat index..........Mid-80s.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming west around 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
SUNSET..............1957 / 7:57 PM MDT (Silver City, NM)

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........54        41        41        58
Weather cov.....ISOLTD    ISOLTD    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD    ISOLTD    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Chc of pcpn (%).20        20        50        80
Chc of thdr (%).20        20        50        80
Temp............58        66        81        83
RH..............72        61        34        32
Heat index (F)..M         M         M         M
Surface wind....NW 3G6    NW 3G9    W 7G12    W 7G14

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...HARDIMAN
Requested by...Maurice Cruz
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2519829.0/EPZ
.DELDT 08/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL maurice.cruz@usda.gov