828
FNUS74 KEPZ 222302
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for RX TerrySprings...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
402 PM MST Thu Jan 22 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MST on January 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
On and off periods of precipitation will be the rule throughout
the period. For Friday, precipitation type may start as a rain and
snow mix, but should become all rain shortly after daybreak.
Latest guidance suggests the mostly likely time for a break in
precipitation will come after sunset Friday before another wave
of precipitation arrives early Saturday morning with rain lasting
most of the day. By sunset Saturday, rain is expected to change
over to snow with scattered snow showers lasting into Sunday
morning. Expected liquid totals look to range between 0.25-0.75"
with a trace to 2" of snow, occurring mainly Saturday night.

Winds throughout the period will generally be the from the west,
less than 10 MPH with smoke transport to the east and northeast.
Venting will be poor with the wet, stable conditions.


.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    early in the morning, then rain showers likely
                    late in the morning. Rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 43.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6800 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........94     95     95     96     97     97
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).30     70     70     80     90     90
Temp............36     37     40     41     41     41
RH..............61     79     85     89     89     89
20 ft wind......N 2    W 5    W 5    SW 7   SW 6   SW 6
20 ft wind gust.7      13     13     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   1300   2000   2000   2100   2100
Transport wind..SW 7   SW 7   SW 9   SW 9   SW 11  SW 11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7      7      21     21     21     21
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9900 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........92     92     90     89     89     88
Weather cov.....DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).90     90     40     40     40     60
Temp............38     38     37     37     37     37
RH..............100    96     96     96     92     92
20 ft wind......SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 6
20 ft wind gust.13     13     13     13     13     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   1400   1300   1300   900    900
Transport wind..SW 10  SW 10  W 9    W 9    W 12   W 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13     13     10     10     11     11
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    through the day. Snow showers late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 40.
Min humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 11 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13400 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........89        89        89        84
Weather cov.....DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).90        90        90        90
Temp............37        36        39        39
RH..............89        92        89        85
20 FT wind......SW 6G14   SW 7G16   SW 8G18   SW 8G20
Mix hgt (ft)....1300      1300      2100      1700
Transport wind..W 12      W 12      SW 11     SW 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13        13        21        20
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Showers and snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s.
Highs in the upper 30s. West winds around 9 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 40s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 40s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch Center
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600925.0/EPZ
.DELDT 01/22/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.maxfeldt@usda.gov,nmsdc@firenet.gov