Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
134
FNUS74 KEPZ 171841
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Feeley Piles...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1241 PM MDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
West winds this evening, shifting to the northwest overnight and
decreasing below 5 mph. Dry and mild weather over the weekend.
Much drier with Min RH 15-20%. Light and variable winds on
Saturday resulting in Poor ventilation all afternoon. Winds
shifting to the south on Sunday, with Fair midday ventilation.
Slight chance of rain showers next Wednesday, otherwise dry
weather. Fuel conditions are wetter than usual for mid-October.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest
around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6400 knot-ft).
TIME (MDT) MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM
Sky (%).........6 6 1 10 10 12
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............38 38 52 64 70 72
RH..............73 67 41 23 20 18
20 ft wind......NE 3 NE 3 N 3 W 2 W 2 W 2
20 ft wind gust.8 8 8 10 10 10
Mix hgt (ft)....900 900 4000 4000 4700 4700
Transport wind..NE 8 NE 8 N 9 N 9 NW 7 NW 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 6 32 32 31 31
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph
after 3 am.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
northeast 7 to 8 mph in the late evening and
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4900 knot-ft).
TIME (MDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM
Sky (%).........23 23 19 19 19 11
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............69 60 52 50 46 42
RH..............22 31 38 39 45 53
20 ft wind......NW 2 NW 2 NE 3 NE 4 NE 4 NE 5
20 ft wind gust.8 8 9 12 12 12
Mix hgt (ft)....1000 1000 800 800 700 700
Transport wind..NW 6 NW 6 NE 8 NE 8 NE 7 NE 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 5 6 6 5 5
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 7 mph shifting to the south 10 to
11 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5000 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (52900 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MDT) MIDNGT 3 AM 6 AM 9 AM
Sky (%).........7 3 5 5
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0
Temp............41 47 71 75
RH..............53 47 19 18
20 FT wind......NE 5G10 E 5G12 S 5G13 S 5G13
Mix hgt (ft)....700 700 5000 5300
Transport wind..E 7 E 7 SE 10 SW 11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 5 48 53
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR FAIR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.
$$
Forecaster...DENNHARDT
Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523581.5/EPZ
.DELDT 10/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov