725
FNUS74 KEPZ 100322
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Well...State Forestry
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
922 PM MDT Wed Sep 9 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on September 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms have largely ended for the burn area for
tonight. A few lingering light showers may persist for into the early
morning hours. A slight chance of thunderstorms will return to the
area Thursday afternoon. Winds will remain light overnight through
tomorrow. Stronger wind gusts expected near thunderstorms will create
sudden wind shifts tomorrow afternoon. Rain and thunderstorm chances
will diminish Friday and Saturday, then increase late weekend into next
week. Min RHs will run at 20% or higher this afternoon through early
next week. Vent rates will range from Fair to Good for the next few days.


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west 5 to
                    7 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (48200 knot-ft) .

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27  27  27  7   7   7   25  25  25  43  43  43
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20
Temp............73  72  73  77  80  84  86  88  90  91  92  90
RH..............62  66  64  54  45  40  35  33  28  27  25  26
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   9   9   9   13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.3 1.3 3.1 3.1 6.0 6.0 7.3 7.3 8.2 8.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   W   SW  NW  W   SW
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   6   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   5   5   12  12  24  24  44  44  48  48
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2200 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  17  17  18  18  18  35  35  35  35  35  35
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............89  87  84  82  81  79  78  77  77  75  72  72
RH..............28  31  34  37  38  41  42  45  43  46  49  49
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  13  13  13  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 5.1 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  12  12  9   9   10  9   8   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..36  36  9   9   6   6   4   4   4   4   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 5 mph late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the northwest 5 to 6 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (55300 knot-ft) .

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  26  26  6   6   6   6   6   6   19  19  19
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............71  70  72  76  80  84  88  91  92  93  95  95
RH..............51  55  51  45  38  31  25  21  20  19  17  17
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.2 1.2 3.3 3.3 7.3 7.3 11  11  11  11
Transp wind dir.S   SW  S   S   SE  NE  N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   6   6   13  13  29  29  55  55  55  55
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. West
winds around 6 mph.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 70s. Highs around 90. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...LUNDEEN
Requested by...Aaron Julian
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621558.0/EPZ
.DELDT 09/09/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL aaron.romero@emnrd.nm.gov