156
FNUS74 KEPZ 121748
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for 16 Springs RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1048 AM MST Wed Nov 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 MST on November 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions through Saturday with temperatures around 10-15
degrees above normal. Slight (10-20%) chance of rain showers
Sunday as Pacific cold front pushes through. No significant winds
through Friday. Breezy west winds developing Sunday and Monday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (36400 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   7   7   21  21  21
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  67  67  67  64  57
RH..............17  18  18  17  19  25
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..36  36  38  38  38  38
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 15 mph increasing to around 19 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4800 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24  24  24  10  10  10  19  19  19  19  19  19
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  53  51  50  49  47  46  46  45  44  43  42
RH..............23  24  24  24  26  28  30  28  29  29  30  32
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   8   8   8   10  10  10  11  11  11
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  15  15  15  16  16  16  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   15  15  15  15  19  19  19  19
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   5   5   5   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 11 to 19 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (50800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  29  29  50  50  50  28  28  28  47  47  47
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............42  44  49  55  60  64  67  68  69  68  65  60
RH..............33  32  30  24  20  19  18  18  18  18  20  25
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   9   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  18  18  18  20  20  20  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.19  19  19  19  16  16  16  16  11  11  11  11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..21  21  21  21  51  51  51  51  47  47  47  47
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. West
winds around 8 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. West
winds around 9 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...DENNHARDT
Requested by...Matthew Barone
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525324.9/EPZ
.DELDT 11/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.barone@usda.gov