Suppression Forecast
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FNUS74 KEPZ 250247
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Vado Flood Recovery...Dona Ana County OEM
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
847 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 MDT on July 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

For tonight, mainly clear skies and light winds are expected. An
outflow boundary recently pushed through the area from the
northeast, but winds have subsided. Dry conditions will persist
through Saturday as the best moisture remains to the east. Gusty
outflows up to 25 mph are possible later in the day on Friday
from storms to the east. Otherwise, winds will be light from the
southwest during the day at 5 mph or less. Light winds and mostly
clear skies continue for Saturday before moisture increases
Sunday and Monday, bringing better rain/storm chances to the
area. There is a low risk of flash flooding Monday and
Tuesday with a passing storm system and above normal moisture.
Temperatures will be very warm this weekend with highs in the
upper 90s, cooling to the low 90s starting Monday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........45 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (MDT)      9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Sky (%).........19     19     19     19     19
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      0      0
Temp............84     80     76     73     70
RH..............23     27     32     38     42
Surface wind....S 2    S 2    SE 1   SE 1   SE 1
Surface wnd gst.6      6      3      2      2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........14 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........5      5      6      3      3      4
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............69     73     82     90     94     96
RH..............45     43     32     22     16     14
Surface wind....SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SW 4   SW 4   SW 4
Surface wnd gst.              6      9      9      12

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........44 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........11        14        13        14
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............95        87        81        76
RH..............16        20        26        36
Surface wind....S 3G12    S 3G6     SE 2G3    SE 2G3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 100.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........12        8         8         18
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............71        81        92        97
RH..............44        32        21        16
Surface wind....SE 2G3    SE 2G7    S 4G10    S 4G10

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...ARONSON
Requested by...Joy Chavez
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2518460.1/EPZ
.DELDT 07/24/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joyc@donaana.gov,amandab@donaana.gov