Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
787
FNUS74 KEPZ 072306
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for RX Hwy Bravo Piles...USFS GNF
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
406 PM MST Thu Nov 7 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on November 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
There maybe a few flurries before midnight at this location.
Tonight recovery will be good. For Friday, quiet weather
conditions are expected with the atmosphere moistening a little
bit. The winds will be light and from the northwest with the high
temperature in the afternoon several degrees below the normal.
Friday overnight recovery will be good, but not as good as it
will be tonight. For Saturday, conditions will be somewhat similar
to that of Friday except for drier air moving in. The ventilation
rates on both Friday and Saturday will be poor to fair. For the
rest of the period, dry weather is expected with generally light
winds and above normal afternoon high temperatures.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (29400 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (78600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........19 18 13 13 7
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1
Temp............29 41 49 52 48
RH..............69 48 31 29 34
20 ft wind......NW 7 NW 7 NW 7 NW 7 NW 8
20 ft wind gust.12 13 12 12 12
Mix hgt (ft)....2300 6300 6300 6400 6400
Transport wind..N 15 NW 14 NW 14 NW 12 NW 12
Haines index....2 2 2 2 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..29 79 79 76 76
Ventrate Cat....POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 26.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........4 4 3 3 3 5
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............39 35 33 30 29 27
RH..............48 54 58 66 66 65
20 ft wind......NW 5 NW 5 N 3 N 2 N 2 N 2
20 ft wind gust.8 8 6 5 5 5
Mix hgt (ft)....1100 1100 1100 1100 1100 1100
Transport wind..NW 7 NW 7 NW 6 NW 6 N 7 N 7
Haines index....2 2 3 3 4 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10 10 6 6 7 7
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 9 mph shifting to the west
around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (42700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........4 3 2 3
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............26 44 61 63
RH..............68 35 19 19
20 FT wind......N 2G5 NW 2G5 W 4G7 SW 6G9
Mix hgt (ft)....1600 1600 4700 4700
Transport wind..N 7 N 7 W 9 W 10
Haines index....3 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11 11 42 43
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR FAIR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Light winds.
.VETERANS DAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
Forecaster...TEXEIRA
Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch Center
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2426074.0/EPZ
.DELDT 11/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov