Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
895
FNUS74 KEPZ 012141
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Paradise...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
341 PM MDT Sun Jun 1 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on June 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
On and off showers with occasional thunder will continue for much
of the night, becoming more widespread after sunrise. Another
break from showers and thunderstorms is expected late morning into
early afternoon before scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected to redevelop. Gusty winds along with lightning will be
the concern around any showers. This pattern makes the high
temperature and minimum RH forecast a little uncertain as it will
depend on the frequency of showers and subsequent cloud coverage.
Outside of showers, expect generally light winds favoring the
southwest with smoke transport to the north and then the
northeast.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms late in the morning, then rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 7 to 12 mph in
the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest 21
to 24 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (28000 knot-ft) increasing to very good
(143300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (159400 knot-ft) in the
afternoon in the late morning and afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
Sky (%).........87 67 67 66 76 76
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).50 50 50 70 70 70
Temp............52 56 62 66 66 64
RH..............76 64 49 40 37 38
20 ft wind......SW 3 SW 7 SW 7 SW 11 W 12 W 12
20 ft wind gust.13 16 16 22 23 23
Mix hgt (ft)....2500 2500 6700 6700 7700 7700
Transport wind..S 10 S 10 SW 21 SW 21 SW 24 SW 24
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28 28 143 143 159 159
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR VYGD VYGD EXNT EXNT
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight
chance of rain showers in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening and
overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 19 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (139500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
(15600 knot-ft) in the late evening and
overnight.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........63 63 59 57 57 55
Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 0 0 0
Temp............63 55 53 51 50 49
RH..............39 54 59 66 68 70
20 ft wind......W 10 W 10 W 7 W 5 W 5 W 4
20 ft wind gust.21 21 16 10 10 9
Mix hgt (ft)....7000 7000 1100 1100 900 900
Transport wind..W 23 W 23 W 21 W 21 W 19 W 19
Vrate kt-ft/1K..140 140 22 22 16 16
Ventrate Cat....VYGD VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph in the
late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 20 mph shifting to the west
around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (42000 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (75000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........38 27 30 41
Weather cov.....NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 40 40
Temp............49 56 67 71
RH..............79 66 42 31
20 FT wind......W 4G14 NW 5G16 W 7G16 W 8G16
Mix hgt (ft)....2300 2300 6800 8000
Transport wind..NW 20 NW 20 NW 16 W 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..42 42 75 71
Ventrate Cat....FAIR FAIR GOOD GOOD
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around
50. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 80. Light
winds.
$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...GILA T3 IMT - Plans Chief (t)
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2514733.7/EPZ
.DELDT 06/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL donavan_albert@firenet.gov