Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
496
FNUS74 KEPZ 311658
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Gomez Peak Piles...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
958 AM MST Fri Jan 31 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on January 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Generally low fire weather concerns the next few days. Min RH values this
afternoon will be between 15-20 percent dependent on elevation, becoming 10-15
percent on Saturday and Sunday. Temperatures will continue to warm through
the week, becoming 5-10 above average on Saturday and Sunday. Winds will
remain generally light at 7-15 mph and out of the south, becoming southwest to
west this weekend. Smoke ventilation rates poor this afternoon, becoming fair
on Saturday and Sunday.
**On or about February 1, 2025, the NWS will discontinue Haines Index
and Lightning Activity Level(LAL) in all Fire Weather Products. The
discontinuation is due to the new science demonstrating the forecast
information is best assessed through other forecast fields.**
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 54-56.
Min humidity........16-19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........3 3 3 4
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............43 51 56 52
RH..............30 20 17 19
20 ft wind......SE 5 S 6 S 7 S 5
20 ft wind gust.8 12 12 10
Mix hgt (ft)....3800 3800 4400 4400
Transport wind..S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7
Haines index....4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28 28 31 31
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 26.
Max humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
east in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph shifting to the
northeast 6 to 7 mph in the late evening and
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........4 4 3 8 8 16
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............44 38 35 32 29 27
RH..............26 32 36 39 44 44
20 ft wind......SE 5 SE 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 NE 5
20 ft wind gust.8 8 8 8 8 8
Mix hgt (ft)....500 500 500 500 500 500
Transport wind..SE 7 SE 7 NE 6 NE 6 NE 7 NE 7
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9 9 3 3 3 3
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 59-62.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 7 to 11 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph shifting to the west 11
to 14 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (47000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........15 11 12 16
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............26 40 55 59
RH..............42 26 14 13
20 FT wind......N 4G8 W 4G8 W 8G15 W 9G16
Mix hgt (ft)....800 800 3300 3400
Transport wind..NE 7 NE 7 W 11 W 14
Haines index....4 4 4 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7 7 43 47
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR FAIR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Northwest winds around 9 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Northwest winds around 7 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Northwest winds around 6 mph.
$$
Forecaster...ROGERS
Requested by...Daniel London
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501960.0/EPZ
.DELDT 01/31/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL daniellondon34@gmail.com,daniel.london@usda.gov,nmscdc@firenet.gov,benjamin.crum@usda.gov