Suppression Forecast
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561
FNUS74 KEPZ 010015
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Centerfire...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
615 PM MDT Mon Jun 30 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MDT on June 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

We will see increasing moisture and rain chances over the next
several days. For tonight, we will have decent to good RH
recoveries to around 80% with just a slight chance for rain
overnight. Gusty outflow winds will be possible this evening then
diminishing later tonight. For Tuesday, we will see a little
better chance for rain with min RH`s in the 20`s. Even better rain
chances for Wednesday and Thursday, before drier air returns for
the Fourth of July.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 11 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (83000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........73     73     60     45     45     26
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     10     0      0      0
Temp............84     71     63     58     55     52
RH..............17     31     48     60     66     77
20 ft wind......S 7    S 7    SE 6   E 4    E 4    E 3
20 ft wind gust.15     15     14     9      9      7
Mix hgt (ft)....6400   6400   600    600    500    500
Transport wind..S 14   S 14   E 15   E 15   E 11   E 11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..83     83     8      8      5      5
Ventrate Cat....GOOD   GOOD   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (88900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........13     13     12     23     23     55
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      30     30     30
Temp............50     59     68     75     79     80
RH..............83     62     45     31     26     25
20 ft wind......E 2    E 2    E 4    SE 6   SE 6   SE 5
20 ft wind gust.7      7      10     12     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....2400   2400   9900   9900   8900   8900
Transport wind..E 12   E 12   E 10   E 10   SE 12  SE 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..25     25     79     79     89     89
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   GOOD   GOOD   GOOD   GOOD

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the east around
                    9 mph in the late evening and overnight, then
                    shifting to the south around 6 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4800 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........72        60        49        40
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE    CHANCE    S CHC     S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40        40        20        20
Temp............77        63        57        52
RH..............31        58        72        86
20 FT wind......S 4G9     SE 2G6    SE 2G3    SE 2G5
Mix hgt (ft)....2600      2600      800       800
Transport wind..S 10      S 10      E 9       S 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28        28        7         5
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph shifting to the west 7 to 11
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (51600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........41           61           76
Weather cov.....S CHC        S CHC        LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC        S CHC        LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).20           20           70
Temp............50           65           74
RH..............93           56           35
20 FT wind......S 3G7        S 4G8        S 5G9
Mix hgt (ft)....2100         8200         5600
Transport wind..S 7          W 7          W 11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15           52           45
Ventrate Cat....POOR         FAIR         FAIR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs
in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 80s.
Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BRICE
Requested by...Joshua Evans
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517004.0/EPZ
.DELDT 06/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov