928
FNUS74 KEPZ 081954
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Daisy...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
154 PM MDT Fri Aug 8 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 MDT on August 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather this evening with surface winds shifting to the north
at 5 mph overnight. Uptick in storm coverage tomorrow, with rain
likely over Gila National Forest. Highest risk between 2-6PM.
Gusty, erratic wind shifts possible. Min RH 15-25% with
prevailing north winds leading to Good ventilation by late
morning.

Similar conditions Sunday into next week with daily afternoon
storm chances and good ventilation during the daytime. Best storm
coverage locally looks to be Sunday, then more isolated activity
through Tuesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    dry thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......12400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (73700 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  65  65  65
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20
Temp............81  81  81  79
RH..............16  17  18  18
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...12  12  12  12
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..74  74  74  74
Ventrate Cat....GD  GD  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    dry thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......11400 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (80000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........74  74  74  70  70  70  56  56  56  54  54  54
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  0   0   0   10  10  10
Temp............77  75  71  66  64  63  61  60  59  58  58  57
RH..............21  24  29  36  37  38  39  41  42  44  44  43
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  13  13  13  14  14  14  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...11  11  11  11  0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  8   8   8   8   10  10  10  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..80  80  80  80  4   4   4   4   6   6   6   6
Ventrate Cat....GD  GD  GD  GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......11900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (34900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (83000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  49  49  28  28  28  62  62  62  80  80  80
Weather cov.....NONENONENONESCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONESCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   20  20  20  40  40  40  50  50  50
Temp............56  55  61  67  73  76  77  78  77  76  73  69
RH..............43  43  38  30  23  21  21  21  24  26  29  32
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.17  17  17  14  14  14  10  10  10  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 12  12  12  12  8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.13  13  13  13  9   9   9   9   6   6   6   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..35  35  35  35  83  83  83  83  49  49  49  49
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  GD  GD  GD  GD  FR  FR  FR  FR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around
50. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...DENNHARDT
Requested by...Gila NF
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519273.2/EPZ
.DELDT 08/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov,smith.chase@emnrd.nm.gov