444
FNUS74 KEPZ 231349
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for 2025 Gila Severity...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
749 AM MDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on June 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly dry conditions again today with only isolated showers east
of GNF. Steady southwest flow 10 to 15 mph leading to Excellent
vent rates and transport to the NNE. Rain chances increasing
Tuesday afternoon, with scattered thunderstorms expected over the
forest followed by more widespread rains overnight into
Wednesday. Highest risk of lightning and erratic outflow winds
will be between 12 PM - 6 PM each afternoon Tuesday through
Friday, reducing in risk again next weekend.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 7 to 12 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (63800 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (165900 knot-ft) in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 20 mph.

TIME (MDT)      2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM
Sky (%).........5      6      17     17     28
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     10     10
Temp............57     72     77     79     79
RH..............38     27     19     17     17
20 ft wind......S 3    S 7    S 12   S 12   SW 12
20 ft wind gust.7      17     21     21     21
Transport wind..S 13   S 20   S 20   S 18   S 18
Vrate kt-ft/1K..64     166    166    173    173
Ventrate Cat....GOOD   EXNT   EXNT   EXNT   EXNT

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph with gusts to around
                    20 mph in the evening becoming light.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (120200 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (6400 knot-ft) in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.

TIME (MDT)      NOON         4 PM         8 PM
Sky (%).........27           25           32
Weather cov.....NONE         NONE         NONE
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........NONE         NONE         NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10           10           10
Temp............78           64           55
RH..............18           28           49
20 FT wind......SW 9G20      S 5G9        SE 4G8
Transport wind..SW 15        S 11         S 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..120          7            6
Ventrate Cat....VYGD         POOR         POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (26000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (71300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 11 mph.

TIME (MDT)      MIDNGT       4 AM         8 AM
Sky (%).........66           68           70
Weather cov.....ISOLTD       ISOLTD       NUMRUS
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD       ISOLTD       NUMRUS
Chc of pcpn (%).20           20           60
Temp............51           70           77
RH..............68           39           30
20 FT wind......S 3G6        S 6G14       S 10G17
Transport wind..S 10         S 11         S 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..26           71           66
Ventrate Cat....POOR         GOOD         GOOD

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows around
50. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...DENNHARDT
Requested by...Scott Reid
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516386.1/EPZ
.DELDT 06/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scott.reid@usda.gov