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FNUS74 KEPZ 012046
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Spot Forecast for 2025 Vado Floods...Doa Ana County Office of Emergency Management
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
246 PM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 MDT on August 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Drier air is moving in, but an isolated storm or outflow is not
out of the question early this evening or Saturday evening.
Temperatures will be warming up to near 100 degrees by Sunday and
remain in the 100-104 range into next week as a strong upper
high builds over the Desert Southwest.  Winds will generally
be light except near thunderstorm outflows.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........61 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.


TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27  27  27  21  21  21  26  26  26  22  22  22
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............94  91  89  84  83  81  80  78  77  77  74  73
RH..............26  29  32  38  40  42  45  48  50  52  57  59
Surface wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Surface wnd gst.9   9   9   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). An isolated storm possible after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Heat index..........Max 93.
Surface winds (mph).Light and variable winds becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
SUNSET..............

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  11  11  8   8   8   8   8   8   10  10  10
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  72  76  78  84  87  90  93  94  95  97  95
RH..............57  61  56  50  41  35  32  28  25  23  21  23
Surface wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   3
Surface wnd gst.6   6   6   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........53 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds. Variable and gusty in the early
                    evening near any thunderstorms.


TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........30  30  30  34  34  34  28  28  28  17  17  17
Weather cov.....ISODISODNONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........ISODISODNONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............95  94  90  86  84  83  82  80  79  77  75  74
RH..............23  23  27  32  36  37  38  41  44  47  50  53
Heat index (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Surface wnd dir.W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.2   10  8   5   5   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Surface wnd gst.8   25  20  6   6   6   3   3   3   5   5   5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 100.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  10  10  5   5   5   4   4   4   5   5   5
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............74  75  77  80  84  89  93  96  97  98  100 100
RH..............53  52  48  44  37  30  26  22  20  18  16  16
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   6   6   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.5   5   5   9   9   9   13  13  13  13  13  13

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs around 102. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 103. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 103. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...GRZYWACZ
Requested by...Joy V. Chavez, Deputy Emergency Manager
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2519021.0/EPZ
.DELDT 08/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joyc@donaana.gov