361
FNUS74 KEPZ 040140
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Coop...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
740 PM MDT Sun Aug 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MDT on August 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Westerly winds will decrease to light and variable overnight.
Hot and very dry conditions expected Monday and through midweek
with high temperatures over the burn area reaching 90 degrees.
RH`s will have modest overnight recovery then drop into the lower
teens in the afternoon. Dry conditions and generally light winds
expected over the burn area through Wednesday. Isolated
thunderstorms will occur in the latter part of the week.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......12300 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (159700 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (8000 knot-ft) in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........5      5      7      9      9      11
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............84     74     65     60     55     51
RH..............10     14     18     22     27     30
20 ft wind......W 7    W 7    NW 4   NW 3   NW 3   NW 3
20 ft wind gust.18     18     14     10     10     8
Mix hgt (ft)....12300  12300  900    900    900    900
Transport wind..W 14   W 14   NW 12  NW 12  NW 9   NW 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..160    160    11     11     8      8
Ventrate Cat....EXNT   EXNT   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........9 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph early in
                    the afternoon, then shifting to the south
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......11300 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the west 6 to 8
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (100600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........11        8         7         9
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............49        67        83        89
RH..............33        23        10        9
20 FT wind......N 3G9     NE 4G9    E 5G14    S 7G16
Mix hgt (ft)....1500      1500      11300     12600
Transport wind..N 9       N 9       W 6       W 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..14        14        68        101
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      GOOD      VYGD

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs around 90. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs around 90. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs around 90. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...LUNDEEN
Requested by...NMSDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519185.0/EPZ
.DELDT 08/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov