029
FNUS74 KEPZ 241514
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Iron Fire...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
914 AM MDT Sat May 24 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on May 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
It will be very dry through Tuesday with single-digit min RH values
in the afternoon. Poor overnight recoveries with max RH values
around 25%. Breezy afternoons today and Sunday. Modest moisture
increase Wednesday for some afternoon cloud buildups and a slight
chance of a thunderstorm.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........7 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 8 to 13 mph with
                    gusts to around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to 23 to 24
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (60200 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (179500 knot-ft) in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52  52  52  26  26  26  59  59  59  46  46  46
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  46  53  60  66  68  70  71  72  74  73  72
RH..............21  22  21  15  11  10  9   8   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   6   6   6   9   11  11  12  11   9
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   18  18  18  24  24  24  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  23  23  23  23  24  24  24  24
Vrate kt-ft/1K..60  60  60  60  180 180 180 180 186 186 186 186
Ventrate Cat....GD  GD  GD  GD  EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph with gusts to around
                    25 mph in the evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 19 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (167000 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (7300 knot-ft) in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........46  46  46  54  54  54  39  39  39  71  71  71
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............71  70  65  60  56  54  51  50  49  47  46  44
RH..............7   7   9   10  13  15  16  17  19  22  23  25
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.25  25  25  17  17  17  10  10  10  7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.19  19  19  19  12  12  12  12  10  10  10  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..167 167 167 167 10  10  10  10  7   7   7   7
Ventrate Cat....EXL EXL EXL EXL PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........8 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 8 to 13 mph with
                    gusts to around 26 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 12 mph increasing to west around
                    21 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (28600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (126200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (197900
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  75  75  55  55  55  10  10  10  3   3   3
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  47  51  57  62  66  68  70  71  71  71  71
RH..............26  24  24  19  14  11  10  9   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   8   8   10  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   14  14  14  22  22  22  26  26  26
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   12  12  12  12  21  21  21  21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..29  29  29  29  126 126 126 126 198 198 198 198
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  VGD VGD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around
6 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 6 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of an afternoon shower or
thunderstorm. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southwest winds around 6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...HEFNER
Requested by...Connor Chaffe
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2514613.0/EPZ
.DELDT 05/26/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL connor.chaffee@usda.gov