982
FNUS74 KEPZ 052306
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Jeffers RX...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
506 PM MDT Sat Jul 5 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 MDT on July 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Moisture arrives from the east tonight, setting the stage for a
more active day on Sunday. Overnight RH recovery will be very good
tonight with light winds from the east around 5 mph. Scattered
thunderstorms develop Sunday afternoon with strong outflow winds
possible to 50 mph. Outside of gusty outflows, prevailing winds
will be 5 to 10 mph from the east on Sunday. Storm chances
diminish by sunset. The chance of afternoon thunderstorms
continues into midweek as temperatures will be near normal.
Ventilation will be fair early in the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (57400 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      5 PM
Sky (%).........36
Weather cov.....NONE
Weather type....NONE
Tstm cov........NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0
Temp............79
RH..............20
20 FT wind......E 5G13
Mix hgt (ft)....8900
Transport wind..E 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..57
Ventrate Cat....FAIR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (49800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
Sky (%).........30           10           8
Weather cov.....NONE         NONE         NONE
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........NONE         NONE         NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0            0            0
Temp............78           65           57
RH..............22           41           75
20 FT wind......E 5G13       E 5G13       E 5G14
Mix hgt (ft)....8300         100          BLW100
Transport wind..E 9          E 10         E 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..50           0            0
Ventrate Cat....FAIR         POOR         POOR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east
                    around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (48100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........3            5            48
Weather cov.....NONE         NONE         CHANCE
Weather type....NONE         NONE         RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE         NONE         CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0            10           50
Temp............56           72           72
RH..............80           42           44
20 FT wind......S 5G10       SE 5G13      E 6G14
Mix hgt (ft)....200          3100         6000
Transport wind..SE 6         SE 7         E 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2            20           48
Ventrate Cat....POOR         POOR         FAIR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...ARONSON
Requested by...Anthony Hernandez
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517402.0/EPZ
.DELDT 07/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmadc@firenet.gov