058
FNUS74 KEPZ 081333
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for 16 Springs RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
633 AM MST Sat Nov 8 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MST on November 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable, terrain driven flow will become more
northwesterly with a gradual shift to northeast later this
afternoon then easterly this evening with an increase in speed
thanks to a cold front. RH values will be low this afternoon into
the lower 20s. The cold air will bring improved RH recoveries
overnight tonight, but tomorrow afternoon`s highs will be much
cooler.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (70200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  51  60  63  66  67  67  68  66  64  59
RH..............45  39  28  25  23  22  22  22  24  24  29
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.18  18  16  16  16  15  15  15  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.0 2.0 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  13  13  13  13  9   9   9   9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..22  22  22  70  70  70  70  66  66  66  66
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 28.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3200 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6   6   6   5   5   5   12  12  12  5   5   5
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  48  45  43  41  39  39  37  35  32  31  30
RH..............38  42  45  47  50  54  57  61  66  75  78  78
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   9   12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14000 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............29  30  33  37  42  46  48  49  49  48  46  43
RH..............78  75  69  59  46  40  37  36  36  35  38  41
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   7   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..14  14  14  14  18  18  18  18  16  16  16  16
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Warmer, clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 60s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.VETERANS DAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. West
winds around 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...Matthew Barone
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525324.2/EPZ
.DELDT 11/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.barone@usda.gov