Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
556
FNUS54 KEPZ 142018
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
218 PM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026
.DISCUSSION...
A pattern change to cooler weather with better chances for rain,
will keep fire weather concerns low this week. Min RH`s for
Tuesday through the coming weekend will be at or above 30%.
Surface winds will be well below critical levels except near
thunderstorms which can produce strong and gusty outflow winds.
Ventilation rates will be fair to good the next couple of days.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-151415-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
218 PM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....69-74.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....49-54 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (44400 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-55.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....89-94 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Numerous rain
showers and scattered thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....67-72.
* Below 7500 ft....76-81.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....50-55 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (54600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Showers and numerous thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60.
Highs 72 to 77. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 54 to 59. Highs
73 to 78. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 53 to 58. Highs 74 to 79. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-151415-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
218 PM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........82-87 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated rain
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........36-41 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (44400 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated rain
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........89-94 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Numerous rain
showers and scattered thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* Min humidity........43-48 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (65900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower to mid 60s. Highs 81 to 86. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the lower
to mid 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Parly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-151415-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
218 PM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........79-84 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (53900 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
rain showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........83-88 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Numerous rain
showers and scattered thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....85-90.
* Min humidity........37-42 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (65500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower to mid 60s. Highs 83 to 88. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 82 to 87.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 82 to 87.
Southwest winds 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-151415-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
218 PM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....71-76.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (53500 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms through the night.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....91-96 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers
and scattered thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....69-74.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (55200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60.
Highs 74 to 79. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 74 to 79. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 53 to 58. Highs 74 to 79. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-151415-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
218 PM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........70-75 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1100,
then mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-95.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........30-34 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (43600 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* Max humidity........76-81 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....88-92.
* Min humidity........34-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 7400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (61900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s to
lower 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid to upper
80s. Light winds.
$$
TXZ056-151415-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
218 PM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........71-76 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (53100 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* Max humidity........82-87 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (80900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 60s. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 83 to 88.
Southwest winds 5 mph.
$$