Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
363
FNUS54 KEPZ 221851
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1251 PM MDT Thu May 22 2025
.DISCUSSION...
For Friday, fire danger will be elevated due to extremely low
humidity and breezy southwest winds during the afternoon. Saturday
and Sunday will be similar with slightly lower winds. Very poor
overnight recoveries expected into the weekend. Moisture
increases from the east next week, resulting in thunderstorm
chances mainly east of the Rio Grande. Dry lightning and gusty
outflow winds will be a concern. Temperatures will be above normal
through Saturday, then near normal.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-231230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1251 PM MDT Thu May 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-53.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* 24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....18-23 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....16-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....81-90.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL increasing to 13000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (288400 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....46-51.
* Below 7500 ft....51-56.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....17-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-79.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....5-7 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....4-6 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (212000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 52. Highs 77 to 82. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows 46 to 51. Highs 78 to 83. West winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 78 to 83. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-231230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1251 PM MDT Thu May 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....57-61.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........15-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 13600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (257800 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....56-60.
* Max humidity........18-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* Min humidity........3-5 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (228500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 86 to
91. West winds around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Highs 87 to
92. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs
88 to 93. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-231230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1251 PM MDT Thu May 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........16-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph increasing to
southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 15400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (293100 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....58-63.
* Max humidity........15-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph decreasing to around
5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (251000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 87 to 92. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 86 to
91. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 85 to 90.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-231230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1251 PM MDT Thu May 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....18-23 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....82-91.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....8-12 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......12000 ft AGL increasing to 15500 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (319200 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....19-24 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....16-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....80-89.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....8-10 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......11400 ft AGL increasing to 15600 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (309100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 78 to 83. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 72 to 77. East winds 5 to 10
mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 73 to 78. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-231230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1251 PM MDT Thu May 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........25-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-100.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........6-11 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (208300 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....64-66.
* Max humidity........16-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (206400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs near
90. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs near 90. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs near 90. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-231230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
1251 PM MDT Thu May 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........43-48 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 15900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (248700 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....61-65.
* Max humidity........26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 14000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (233100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Highs 88 to 93. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows near 60. Highs 85 to 90. West winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 82 to 87.
East winds around 10 mph.
$$
Aronson