Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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019
FNUS54 KEPZ 011205
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
605 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Today is the day we start to see the effects of high pressure
building back over the region. Most areas will start a steady
warmup, with day to day rises in temperatures making for well
above normal heat ffor the weekend and next week. Also, we will
begin to see reduced storm coverage. But today we will keep a
good chance for mountain storms, and at least isolated lowland
storms. After today, storms and rain will be scarce, and becoming
absent, as dry and stable conditions take over for most, if not
all, of next week.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.


NMZ110-011900-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
605 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....75-80.
*    Below 7500 ft....84-89.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                      in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (54600 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....54-59.
*    Below 7500 ft....60-65.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
*    24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....77-82.
*    Below 7500 ft....87-92.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (90500 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 87 to 92. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 88 to 93. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 89 to 94. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-011900-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
605 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........24-28 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (56900 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....67-71.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........58-63 percent.
*    24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (60200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 97 to
102. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 98 to 103. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-011900-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
605 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1200,
                      then mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight
                      chance of showers and thunderstorms after
                      1200.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........27-32 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (53700 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-011900-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
605 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....70-75.
*    Below 7500 ft....79-84.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....55-60 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (44900 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....51-56.
*    Below 7500 ft....58-63.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....81-86 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....79-84 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....74-79.
*    Below 7500 ft....83-88.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92600 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 85 to 90. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 86 to 91. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 87 to 92. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-011900-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
605 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 1200,
                      then mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-96.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (63800 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....72-74.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........51-55 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-98.
* Min humidity........21-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 3 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 13000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (47500 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 97 to 101.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 100 to 104. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs
100 to 104. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-011900-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
605 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (63500 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-72.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 3 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (50000 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 97 to
102. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70 to 75. Highs 96 to 101. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$