Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
310
FNUS54 KEPZ 171136
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
536 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Increasing southwest flow this afternoon combined with very dry
air will create critical fire danger for the region. Southwest
winds 15 to 25 mph today with min RH 5-10%. Wind speeds reach Red
Flag thresholds for LNF/Sacramento Mtns this afternoon, but will
stay just below criteria for GNF and western NM. RH recovery will
be very poor tonight with continued southwest flow. Wind speeds
increase Sunday and Monday, warranting Red Flags area wide.
Sustained speeds of 20 to 30 mph with peak afternoon gusts around
45 mph. RH will be slightly higher Monday, but still reach
critical thresholds midday. No precipitation is expected this
week through Memorial Day weekend.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-171845-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
536 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....64-69.
* Below 7500 ft....73-78.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....9-11 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......11300-12900 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (334400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....36-41.
* Below 7500 ft....42-47.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 33 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....60-65.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....13-17 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-14 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 35 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 9100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 35 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (254600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows 39 to 44. Highs 66 to 71. West
winds 10 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 37 to 42. Highs 73 to 78. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 43 to 48. Highs 79 to 84. South winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-171845-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
536 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......11500 ft AGL increasing to 13500 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (346600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....48-53.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........18-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 20 mph
becoming west around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 37 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of blowing dust
in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....80-85.
* Min humidity........7-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 38 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 35 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (321600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Areas of blowing dust in the afternoon. Lows
47 to 52. Highs 78 to 83. West winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Highs in the
lower to mid 80s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 50 to 55. Highs near 90. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-171845-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
536 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL increasing to 14900 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (394800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....51-56.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........15-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of
blowing dust in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....80-85.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 35 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (339600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon. Lows 50 to
55. Highs 78 to 83. West winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 47 to 52. Highs 80 to 85. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 51 to 56. Highs 86 to 91. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-171845-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
536 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....64-69.
* Below 7500 ft....73-78.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....13-17 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL increasing to 14100 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 35 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (409800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....41-46.
* Below 7500 ft....47-52.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....19-23 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....17-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 35 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Areas of
blowing dust in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....62-67.
* Below 7500 ft....72-77.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....10-14 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....8-10 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 25 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 38 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 45 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (374300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust in the
afternoon. Lows 44 to 49. Highs 67 to 72. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 40 to 45. Highs 71 to 76. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 43 to 48. Highs 76 to 81. South winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-171845-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
536 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....86-90.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 10 mph
increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8600 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (363900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....57-59.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........14-18 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of
blowing dust in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....84-88.
* Min humidity........6-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (312100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Breezy, clear. Areas of blowing dust in the afternoon.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower to mid 80s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower to mid
80s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs
near 90. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-171845-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
536 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 15200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (384500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....56-60.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........17-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of blowing dust
in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....84-89.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (305600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Breezy, clear. Areas of blowing dust in the afternoon.
Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 80 to 85. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Highs
80 to 85. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s. Highs 86 to 91. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$
Dennhardt