Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
006
FNUS54 KEPZ 211905
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Decreasing fire risk on Sunday as moisture increases. Conditions
will remain Elevated over GNF with dry conditions through Sunday.
Afternoon RH 15-20% and southwest winds 10 to 15 mph, with higher
moisture and scattered thunderstorms over LNF. Very Good smoke
ventilation with transport to the NE. Outflows may cause gusty
winds over LNF fire operations in the evening. Increasing
moisture next week, with widespread showers and thunderstorms
Monday through Wednesday. New rain amounts 2-3" for LNF and
0.5-1" for GNF through the end of next week. Storms may result in
burn scar and flash flooding. ERCs decreasing rapidly next week
due to the rain.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-221230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....9-14 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-14 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (190400 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph decreasing to around
5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....16-21 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....16-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (181900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 78 to 83. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 77 to 82. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 78 to 83. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-221230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........43-48 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........14-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (160200 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....63-68.
* Max humidity........41-46 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* Min humidity........18-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers with thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the 60s. Highs 84 to 89. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-221230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........44-49 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........19-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (173700 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of
showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (113400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s
to lower 70s. Highs 81 to 86. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid
60s. Highs 79 to 84. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 82 to 87. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-221230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....83-88.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......8300-9500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (141700 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of rain showers after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....89-94 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning, then showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....68-73.
* Below 7500 ft....77-82.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900-6000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (59800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows 56 to 61.
Highs 70 to 75. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60. Highs
69 to 74. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
53 to 58. Highs 73 to 78. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-221230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....74-76.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........49-54 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....91-93.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........26-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (76200 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
chance of showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....70-72.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....86-90.
* Min humidity........31-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
70s. Highs in the 80s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows near 70.
Highs in the lower to mid 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-221230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........64-69 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely after 1200.
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77700 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of
showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* Max humidity........82-87 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...80 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers in the morning, then showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....79-84.
* Min humidity........50-55 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4800-5500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (57800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid to
upper 60s. Highs 79 to 84. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 81 to 86.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 60s. Highs 83 to 88. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
Dennhardt