202
FNUS54 KEPZ 191822
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1222 PM MDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather concerns remain low through the forecast period.
For Sunday, lingering showers and storms are expected across
northeastern areas. Rain chances diminish by Monday and stay
near-zero through the week. Dry and warm conditions are forecast
for the workweek with light winds expected.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.




NMZ110-201330-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1222 PM MDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                      of thunderstorms in the evening. Slight
                      chance of rain showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....33-38.
*    Below 7500 ft....38-43.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....76-81 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
*    24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 32 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....55-60.
*    Below 7500 ft....62-71.
*    24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
*    24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (156300 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....32-37.
*    Below 7500 ft....37-42.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....50-55 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....61-69.
*    Below 7500 ft....70-75.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....19-24 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....16-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 6000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (32400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 39 to 44. Highs 72 to 77. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43 to 48. Highs 74 to 79. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 50. Highs 74 to 79. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-201330-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1222 PM MDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....43-48.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph becoming
                      southeast around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 37 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....75-80.
*    24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........19-23 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 26 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (147800 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....41-45.
* Max humidity........46-51 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....76-80.
* Min humidity........15-17 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
                      in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 5700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (24600 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 40s. Highs in the
lower to mid 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 50. Highs in the 80s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Highs in the
80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-201330-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1222 PM MDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms through the night.
* Min temperature.....51-56.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........87-92 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 31 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........3.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                      showers until 1200. Slight chance of
                      thunderstorms. Slight chance of rain showers
                      after 1200.
* Max temperature.....75-80.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 25 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (162400 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
                      Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                      after midnight.
* Min temperature.....46-51.
* Max humidity........64-69 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2.
* Haines index........5.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....73-78.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (41100 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 46 to 51. Highs 77 to 82. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 55. Highs 80 to 85.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 51 to 56. Highs 80 to 85. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-201330-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1222 PM MDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....40-45.
*    Below 7500 ft....47-52.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....96-100 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
*    24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 29 mph.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........3.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....57-62.
*    Below 7500 ft....63-68.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......3900-5800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (104800 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then slight chance of showers and
                      thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....37-42.
*    Below 7500 ft....42-47.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....89-94 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....85-90 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........4.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....58-63.
*    Below 7500 ft....65-70.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......3800-5400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (74400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 41 to 46. Highs 69 to 74. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 49. Highs 72 to 77. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 44 to 49. Highs 71 to 76. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-201330-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
1222 PM MDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers
                      likely in the evening. Chance of
                      thunderstorms through the night. Chance of
                      rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....Around 60.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........82-87 percent.
*    24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 25 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........3.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....80-84.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........28-32 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 9100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (143000 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                      showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                      the evening.
* Min temperature.....55-57.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....78-82.
* Min humidity........22-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (33800 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Highs in the
lower to mid 80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Highs in the mid to
upper 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows near 60. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-201330-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
1222 PM MDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then slight chance of showers and
                      thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....55-59.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........91-96 percent.
*    24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 25 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1200,
                      then mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight
                      chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....77-82.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........36-41 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 0900, then 1 until 1200, then 2.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (138400 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then slight chance of showers and
                      thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....53-57.
* Max humidity........83-88 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2.
* Haines index........3.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....77-82.
* Min humidity........26-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 6900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (57700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 51 to 56. Highs 80 to 85. East winds
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs
82 to 87. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 81 to 86.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

Aronson