Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
723
FNUS54 KEPZ 222005
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
205 PM MDT Fri Aug 22 2025
.DISCUSSION...
We will continue to dry out over the next several days (through
Monday), though even the lowest RH readings over the lowlands will
still remain at or above 15 percent. Little or no chance of rain
through this period, except the Gila/SW Mtn zone, where a slight
chance of thunderstorms will exist tonight and Saturday. Tuesday
and Wednesday will see a significant increase in moisture, with
a corresponding rise in the chance for rain/thunderstorms. Both
Tuesday and Wednesday will also carry an increase for flood
potential, especially over/near burn scars.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-231245-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
205 PM MDT Fri Aug 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....54-59 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....50-55 percent.
* 24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....20-24 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....17-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (89600 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....54-59 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....50-55 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....19-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (100700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 83 to 88. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 79 to 84. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 74 to 79. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-231245-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
205 PM MDT Fri Aug 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........45-50 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........15-17 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (119300 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* Max humidity........44-49 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....90-94.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (146700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the lower to
mid 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 88 to 93.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 80s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-231245-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
205 PM MDT Fri Aug 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (118600 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........50-55 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* Min humidity........19-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (101400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 90 to
95. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs 81 to 86. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-231245-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
205 PM MDT Fri Aug 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....82-87.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....22-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8300-10100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (100900 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-53.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 80 to 85. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 75 to 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows 54 to 59.
Highs 70 to 75. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-231245-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
205 PM MDT Fri Aug 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........48-53 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-98.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8800 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (134900 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* Max humidity........47-52 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........19-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (111100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid
90s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs near 90. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-231245-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
205 PM MDT Fri Aug 22 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (139200 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....61-65.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (117500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 89 to 94. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 69. Highs 85 to 90. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs 82 to 87. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
DH