104
FNUS54 KEPZ 191903
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
103 PM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will continue to be near-record levels but with a
modest increase in moisture for tomorrow. Areas east of the Rio
Grande will have a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms
late afternoon and into the evening. Winds will be breezy in the
afternoon, topping out around 15 MPH. Venting will range very good
to excellent. Temperatures will decrease some for Saturday but
with drier conditions.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.




NMZ110-201300-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
103 PM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....48-53.
*    Below 7500 ft....54-59.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
*    24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 1200,
                      then mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....71-76.
*    Below 7500 ft....81-86.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....19-23 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....18-22 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (191100 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....44-49.
*    Below 7500 ft....50-55.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....60-65 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph decreasing to
                      around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....64-69.
*    Below 7500 ft....73-78.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....18-22 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....17-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6500-8200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (178300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 43 to 48. Highs 74 to 79. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 46 to 51. Highs 75 to 80. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 76 to 81. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-201300-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
103 PM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....60-64.
*    24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........46-51 percent.
*    24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....88-93.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........15-19 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph increasing to
                      around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (175700 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....56-61.
* Max humidity........56-61 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 29 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....81-86.
* Min humidity........13-17 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 29 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (165900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Highs in the lower
to mid 80s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs in
the mid to upper 80s. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-201300-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
103 PM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....64-69.
*    24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........41-46 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........18-23 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (146700 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....63-68.
* Max humidity........53-58 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 15 mph decreasing to
                      around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3.
* Haines index........4.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                      mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....84-89.
* Min humidity........13-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (203800 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 81 to 86. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows 54 to 59. Highs
82 to 87. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 84 to 89.
South winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-201300-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
103 PM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....52-57.
*    Below 7500 ft....58-63.
*    24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....65-70 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
*    24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
                      of rain showers until 1200, then chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....72-77.
*    Below 7500 ft....80-85.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
*    24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5900-6600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99700 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain
                      showers through the night. Slight chance of
                      thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....50-55.
*    Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                      mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
                      of thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of
                      rain showers through the day. Chance of
                      thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....68-73.
*    Below 7500 ft....77-82.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (181300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 46 to 51. Highs 71 to 76. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 44 to 49. Highs 72 to 77. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 49 to 54. Highs 73 to 78. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TXZ055-201300-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
103 PM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                      mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
* Min temperature.....71-73.
*    24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........40-45 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-96.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (89600 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
                      of thunderstorms in the evening. Slight
                      chance of showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* Max humidity........49-54 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....88-92.
* Min humidity........15-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (151400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows near 60. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. East winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s
to lower 90s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-201300-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
103 PM MDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
*    24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-96.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99900 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (136800 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows near 60. Highs 83 to 88. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 79 to 84. East winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 83 to 88. South winds around
5 mph.

$$