Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
974
FNUS54 KEPZ 111930
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
130 PM MDT Fri Sep 11 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Wildfire risk remains low overall. Decreasing thunderstorm chances
today with just isolated chances to mostly mountains in the Gila and
far SW New Mexico. Temperatures will trend back up to around 5 to
10 degrees above normal across the area through the weekend, with
minimum RH values dropping to the upper-teens east of the Rio
Grande. Precip chances will increase next week from west to east,
as upper level disturbances break down the western edge of the
upper ridge. Vent rates are generally good.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-121130-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
130 PM MDT Fri Sep 11 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....76-81 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (61700 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (101800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 81 to 86. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 77 to 82. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 75 to 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-121130-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
130 PM MDT Fri Sep 11 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1100,
then mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (66400 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 91 to 96. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-121130-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
130 PM MDT Fri Sep 11 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69800 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* Max humidity........50-55 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (120200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 93 to 98. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-121130-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
130 PM MDT Fri Sep 11 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....60-65 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....49-54 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....18-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93300 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....62-67 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....87-92.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (106100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
59 to 64. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 80 to 85. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 76 to 81. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-121130-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
130 PM MDT Fri Sep 11 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....71-73.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-101.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (65100 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....72-74.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-100.
* Min humidity........18-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 13000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the mid to
upper 90s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs near 90. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-121130-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
130 PM MDT Fri Sep 11 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........63-68 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68300 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 90 to 95. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 70. Highs 88 to 93. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$