Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
516
FNUS54 KEPZ 031937
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
137 PM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Just very slight chances for a shower or thunderstorm over the
higher terrain in the Gila and Sacramentos through this evening.
Some low level moisture will begin working into SW New Mexico on
Thursday, with scattered thunderstorms in the Bootheel region. We
will see increasing moisture and rain chances Friday and Saturday,
with some potential for localized heavy rainfall posssible in
Southwestern New Mexico late Friday into early Saturday depending
on the track of the remnants of Hurricane Lorena. Unfortunately,
its path remains uncertain, but the best chances for heavy
rainfall amounts will be over the Gila Region and down to the
Bootheel. Drier conditions look to return Sunday into the middle
of next week.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-041230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
137 PM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 1200,
then mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight
chance of rain showers after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....80-85.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......8800 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (103400 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-52.
* Below 7500 ft....54-59.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....79-84 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....80-85 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....64-69.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500-5200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (37900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 70 to 75. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers. Lows 51 to 56. Highs
75 to 80. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows 52 to 57.
Highs 78 to 83. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-041230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
137 PM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........54-59 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers after 1200.
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........26-31 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (102300 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
showers in the evening, then chance of rain
showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....61-65.
* Max humidity........79-84 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....72-77.
* Min humidity........52-57 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500-4900 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (46400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 77 to 82. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers. Lows near 60. Highs in
the 80s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the mid
80s to lower 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-041230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
137 PM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........44-49 percent.
* 24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 1200,
then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........18-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (123000 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then chance
of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....74-79.
* Min humidity........44-49 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 6200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (53200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 76 to 81. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers. Lows near 60. Highs
81 to 86. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 84 to
89. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-041230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
137 PM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* 24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....71-76.
* Below 7500 ft....80-85.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (114600 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-53.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....79-84 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....59-64.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....62-67 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4800-5800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (42800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 55. Highs 66 to 71. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 50 to 55. Highs
70 to 75. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows 51 to 56.
Highs 74 to 79. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-041230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
137 PM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........40-45 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-91.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........19-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (94800 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of
showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....66-68.
* Max humidity........62-66 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers
through the day. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....74-78.
* Min humidity........48-52 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500-5700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (56100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs near 80. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower to
mid 60s. Highs in the 80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s
to lower 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-041230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
137 PM MDT Wed Sep 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........48-53 percent.
* 24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75100 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance
of showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of
showers in the morning, then chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....73-78.
* Min humidity........47-52 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600-5900 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (46600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 77 to 82. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 58 to 63. Highs
79 to 84. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows 59 to 64.
Highs 82 to 87. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$