Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
458
FNUS54 KEPZ 101132
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
532 AM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Low fire danger over the next several days due to wetness of
local forests. Isolated (20-40%) thunderstorms each afternoon for
Gila NF, but much of Lincoln NF will remain dry through Tuesday.
Increasing moisture will allow for more widespread rain chances
late this week. Storms will pose a risk of localized flash
flooding and erratic outflow winds over mountains. Light SE winds
today, shifting to the SW Tuesday through the rest of the week.
20-ft wind speeds 10 to 15 mph Wednesday/Thursday. Good
ventilation rates each afternoon. Min RH 15-25%, with moisture
increasing after Wednesday.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-101845-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
532 AM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....81-86.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....18-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....55-59.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....67-72 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....89-94.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (83300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Thunderstorms likely and chance of
showers. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 82 to 87. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Lows
57 to 62. Highs 77 to 82. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 79 to 84. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-101845-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
532 AM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........14-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........63-68 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 13000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (95300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 90 to 95. West winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91. West
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-101845-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
532 AM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........13-15 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........42-47 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........14-16 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 91 to 96. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 91 to 96. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-101845-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
532 AM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....17-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (109300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....55-60.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....52-57 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....17-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (82100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 67. Highs 86 to 91. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 82 to 87. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 64. Highs 81 to 86. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-101845-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
532 AM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-101.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........14-16 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....72-74.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........47-52 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-102.
* Min humidity........16-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 12800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs
96 to 100. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid
90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the 90s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-101845-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
532 AM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........14-18 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (71500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (71100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 72. Highs 90 to 95. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 72. Highs 91 to 96. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
Dennhardt