Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
922
FNUS54 KEPZ 151817
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1217 PM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026
.DISCUSSION...
No fire threats over the next week as plenty of moisture will be
around through the end of the week with RH`s staying above 25%
with most areas above 35%. There will be a daily chance for
showers and thunderstorms, initially having the best chances west
of the RGV but shifting east as we get into Thu and Fri. Winds
will not be a concern. Vent rates will be fair to good.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-161130-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1217 PM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and thunderstorms
and thunderstorms likely.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-55.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....91-96 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1100,
then partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 1100, then
showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....67-72.
* Below 7500 ft....76-81.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 6000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (61700 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers
through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-55.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....91-96 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....89-94 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....67-72.
* Below 7500 ft....76-81.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....51-56 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 54 to
59. Highs 74 to 79. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 53 to 58. Highs 74 to 79. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 74 to 79. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-161130-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1217 PM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........89-94 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers and thunderstorms
likely, especially after 1100.
* Max temperature.....84-89.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........41-46 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 7300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69900 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
and chance of thunderstorms in the evening,
then chance of rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....60-64.
* Max humidity........92-97 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers through the day. Slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* Min humidity........40-45 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (52500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.
South winds 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the lower
to mid 80s. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-161130-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1217 PM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........81-86 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph becoming
southeast around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1100, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........33-38 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (98600 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers
likely through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....61-65.
* Max humidity........85-90 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* Min humidity........36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (62500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 84 to 89. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 82 to 87. West winds 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 81 to 86. North winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-161130-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1217 PM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....91-96 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1100, then
showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....52-57 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (60500 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers
likely through the night.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-53.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....91-96 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....83-88 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....68-73.
* Below 7500 ft....76-81.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (58700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 76 to 81. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 75 to 80. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 52 to 57. Highs 71 to 76. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-161130-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1217 PM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the night.
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........74-79 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 15 mph decreasing to
around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1100. Chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....90-94.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........30-34 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (100600 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Showers likely
through the night.
* Min temperature.....66-68.
* Max humidity........74-79 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....87-91.
* Min humidity........33-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs near 90. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid to upper
80s. Southwest winds 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the 80s. North winds
5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-161130-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
1217 PM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........80-85 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph decreasing to
around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........29-34 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99900 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of
showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........79-84 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 60s. Highs 87 to 92. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 84 to 89.
Southwest winds 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 81 to 86. North winds around
5 mph.
$$
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