Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
847
FNUS54 KEPZ 082037
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
237 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low fire danger the next few days as min RH values stay well
above critical thresholds. Thursday and Friday will be dry with
min RHs of 35-45% and mountain RHs of 50-80%. Areawide rain
chances return Saturday spreading west to east. Breezy southeast
winds persist each afternoon and overnight the next few days with
20 foot wind speeds of 10-15 mph with the breeziest winds being
along and west of the Rio Grande.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-091215-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
237 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Slight
chance of rain showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....47-51.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....93-98 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....87-92 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200,
then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight
chance of rain showers. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....63-68.
* Below 7500 ft....72-77.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....54-59 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93900 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....47-51.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....66-71.
* Below 7500 ft....74-79.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400-7300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (100500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 52 to 57. Highs 71 to 76. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 61 to 66. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 62 to 67. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-091215-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
237 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
* Min temperature.....61-65.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........74-79 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....79-83.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........37-42 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (132400 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....60-64.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....80-84.
* Min humidity........32-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (131000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 82 to 87.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs near 70. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs
68 to 73. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-091215-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
237 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........85-90 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....77-82.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........40-45 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (98700 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....57-61.
* Max humidity........76-81 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....78-83.
* Min humidity........33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (94400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows near 60. Highs 81 to 86. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 71 to 76. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs
70 to 75. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-091215-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
237 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....43-48.
* Below 7500 ft....49-54.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....93-98 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....60-65.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....52-57 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4100-5800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (60700 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....42-47.
* Below 7500 ft....49-54.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....91-96 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....62-67.
* Below 7500 ft....71-75.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....50-55 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 72 to 77.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 65 to 70. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 62 to 67. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-091215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
237 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-65.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........76-81 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....81-85.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........38-42 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (110800 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-64.
* Max humidity........68-73 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....81-85.
* Min humidity........32-34 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in
the mid to upper 80s. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid to upper
70s. West winds around 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
to upper 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-091215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
237 PM MDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Min temperature.....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........92-97 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....77-82.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........45-50 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (95600 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....56-61.
* Max humidity........85-90 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....79-84.
* Min humidity........35-40 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 82 to 87. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 75 to 80. West winds around
5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 77 to 82. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$