108
FNUS54 KEPZ 111147
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
547 AM MDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Low fire danger with ERCs near normal and antecedent moisture
preventing large fire spread. Scattered thunderstorms along the
AZ/NM state line today, likely missing most of GNF and LNF. Min
RH 20-30%. Very Good vent rates with 20 winds 10 to 15 mph and
transport to the north today. Better rain chances expected Friday
afternoon and evening as the moisture plume currently to our
west, shifts eastward across New Mexico. Storms could produce
localized flooding. Drier weather again Sunday/Monday then
typical isolated showers and thunderstorms the rest of next week.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.


NMZ110-111915-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
547 AM MDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....73-78.
*    Below 7500 ft....83-88.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....23-27 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......8800 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (159300 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....50-55.
*    Below 7500 ft....56-61.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
*    24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of rain showers in the morning, then rain
                      showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
                      the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....70-75.
*    Below 7500 ft....79-84.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 8500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (140700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 74 to 79. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 77 to 82. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 56. Highs 77 to 82. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-111915-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
547 AM MDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........21-26 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (118000 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-66.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* Min humidity........33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 9100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (107900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 82 to 87. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows near 60. Highs 84 to 89. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the mid to
upper 80s. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-111915-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
547 AM MDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-94.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (148500 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-66.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........64-69 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........25-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (145100 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 82 to 87. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 84 to 89. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 84 to 89.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-111915-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
547 AM MDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....72-77.
*    Below 7500 ft....81-86.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (155400 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....47-52.
*    Below 7500 ft....53-58.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....79-84 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....75-80 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....70-75.
*    Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400-9300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (123700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 72 to 77. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 55. Highs 75 to 80. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 56. Highs 73 to 78. South winds around
5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-111915-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
547 AM MDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-95.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........18-20 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (128100 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-69.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........63-68 percent.
*    24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-93.
* Min humidity........25-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (116500 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs near 90.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s
to lower 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-111915-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
547 AM MDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-92.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105300 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....61-66.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........81-86 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* Min humidity........26-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs 82 to 87. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 82 to 87.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

Dennhardt