Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
272
FNUS54 KEPZ 161854
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1254 PM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm chances will continue tonight into
Thursday with heavy rain and flash flooding the main concern. With
the added moisture overnight recoveries will be strong while
afternoon humidity ranges mid 20s to mid 30s for Thursday
afternoon. Winds will be light with fair to good vent categories.
Rain and storm chances will continue into Saturday.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-171145-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1254 PM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers
through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-55.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....87-92 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers until 1100Chance of showers
and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....68-73.
* Below 7500 ft....77-82.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 6000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84900 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain
showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....85-90 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....69-74.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 7400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 53 to 58. Highs 76 to 81. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 56. Highs 76 to 81. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 75 to 80. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-171145-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1254 PM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
evening, then chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........85-90 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1100,
then mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........33-38 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 7900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68900 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain
showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........79-84 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then chance
of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....85-90.
* Min humidity........34-39 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (45400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s
to lower 90s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 86 to 91.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 85 to
90. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-171145-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1254 PM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........76-81 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 1100,
then mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms after
1100.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92800 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of
rain showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........74-79 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* Min humidity........34-39 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (57100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 84 to 89.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 84 to 89. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 84 to
89. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-171145-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1254 PM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms through the night.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-53.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....91-96 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....83-88 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....50-55 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (52300 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Slight
chance of rain showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....52-57 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 6000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (51500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 76 to 81. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
53 to 58. Highs 76 to 81. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 75 to 80. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-171145-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1254 PM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Slight
chance of showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-95.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........26-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (98500 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the evening, then slight chance of showers
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....90-94.
* Min humidity........28-32 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (54500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs near 90. South
winds 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs near 90. West
winds 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs near
90. East winds 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-171145-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
1254 PM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....64-69.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1100,
then mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75800 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* Max humidity........75-80 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* Min humidity........26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 87 to 92.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 86 to 91. West winds 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 85 to
90. East winds around 5 mph.
$$