Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
950
FNUS54 KEPZ 111210
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
610 AM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns are minimal as an influx of tropical
moisture will bring showers and thunderstorms across a bulk of
the forecast area starting later today. Rain, cooler temperatures,
and higher humidity will persist through Monday, with spottier
showers and thunderstorms lingering into Wednesday. Drier and
warmer conditions will return on Thursday and persist into next
weekend.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-111830-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
610 AM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 1200,
then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms until 1200, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....63-68.
* Below 7500 ft....72-77.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....59-64 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....52-57 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400-4600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (60300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain
showers through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....47-51.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Isolated
thunderstorms in the morning. Numerous rain
showers through the day. Scattered
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....61-66.
* Below 7500 ft....67-72.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....54-59 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800-5300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (51600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 63 to 68. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 55. Highs 67 to 72. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 55. Highs 70 to 75. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-111830-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
610 AM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....78-83.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........45-50 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3200-4600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (38500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the evening. Chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Rain showers
likely after midnight.
* Min temperature.....59-63.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........95-100 percent.
* 24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
and scattered thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....68-73.
* Min humidity........67-72 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......2900-3700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (30500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
near 60. Highs 68 to 73. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs 74 to 79. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Highs near 80. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-111830-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
610 AM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
after 1200.
* Max temperature.....79-84.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........39-44 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (76800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of
rain showers through the night. Chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....59-63.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........95-100 percent.
* 24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Numerous rain
showers and scattered thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....72-77.
* Min humidity........60-65 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400-4500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (43600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 69 to 74.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 75 to 80.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 78 to 83.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-111830-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
610 AM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....64-69.
* Below 7500 ft....72-77.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....47-52 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000-6000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (81500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
through the night.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....46-51.
* Below 7500 ft....53-57.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated
thunderstorms in the morning. Scattered rain
showers through the day. Scattered
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....58-63.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....78-83 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700-5300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (67400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.COLUMBUS DAY...Cloudy with showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 59 to 64. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 66 to 71. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 69 to 74. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-111830-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
610 AM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....84-88.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........32-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 7900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (88300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers in the evening. Chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Showers
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-66.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........94-99 percent.
* 24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered
thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers
through the day. Isolated thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....70-74.
* Min humidity........68-73 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......2700-3600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (27900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower to mid
70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs near 80. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower to mid 80s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-111830-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
610 AM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........34-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 7900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (88000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Rain showers
likely after midnight.
* Min temperature.....60-64.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........95-100 percent.
* 24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
showers in the morning. Isolated
thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers
in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....71-76.
* Min humidity........66-71 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400-4200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (35500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 73 to 78. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 77 to 82. East winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 79 to 84.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$