Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
715
FNUS54 KEPZ 191950
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
150 PM MDT Sat Jul 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Primary fire threat remains focused around thunderstorm hazards.
Scattered storms favoring GNF and western NM this weekend, with
lower coverage over LNF. Storms will be capable of flash flooding,
especially around burn scars. Prevailing winds out of the
southwest 5 to 10 mph resulting in Good ventilation and min RH
30-40%. Storm coverage increasing early next week as deeper
moisture shifts back over the Rio Grande valley. Drier weather
pattern expected Wednesday through the rest of the week.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-201215-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
150 PM MDT Sat Jul 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....67-72 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* 24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......8500-10200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (89900 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....83-88.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (104600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 78 to 83. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 80 to 85. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 83 to 88. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-201215-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
150 PM MDT Sat Jul 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (94500 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* Max humidity........67-72 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* Min humidity........26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (102900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91. West
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 92 to 97. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-201215-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
150 PM MDT Sat Jul 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........56-61 percent.
* 24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (101100 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* Max humidity........60-65 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 88 to 93. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 90 to 95. South winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-201215-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
150 PM MDT Sat Jul 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64 percent.
* 24 hr trend......27 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......9300-10600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93300 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....73-78.
* Below 7500 ft....83-88.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......7200-9000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 77 to 82. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 78 to 83. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 81 to 86. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-201215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
150 PM MDT Sat Jul 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....73-75.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........54-58 percent.
* 24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-98.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........21-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91400 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....72-74.
* Max humidity........59-64 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....91-95.
* Min humidity........26-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs near 90. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs near 90. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. South winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-201215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
150 PM MDT Sat Jul 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73800 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-73.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 83 to 88. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 85 to 90. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 88 to 93. South winds
around 5 mph.
$$
Dennhardt