Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
790
FNUS54 KEPZ 061857
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1257 PM MDT Mon Oct 6 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low level moisture will be moving in over the next 24-48 hours
which will raise min RH`s into the 30s/40s by Wed. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible through Wed
with the main focus in the mountains and nrn/ern areas.
Some locally heavy rain is possible, especially Tue night. Drier
air, but with RH`s still above 20-25%, will return by the end of
the week. Winds will be breezy to occasionally windy Tue night and
continuing through Fri from the southeast.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-071230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1257 PM MDT Mon Oct 6 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....37-42.
* Below 7500 ft....42-47.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....60-65 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
* 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....68-73.
* Below 7500 ft....76-81.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (148300 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Slight
chance of rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....44-48.
* Below 7500 ft....50-55.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....89-94 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....63-68.
* Below 7500 ft....71-76.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800-7700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 68 to 73. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 56. Highs 71 to 76. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 72 to 77. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-071230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1257 PM MDT Mon Oct 6 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....83-87.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 6900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (81500 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....58-62.
* Max humidity........77-82 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers through the day. Slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....77-81.
* Min humidity........36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (74100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs near 80. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows near 60. Highs in the lower to mid
80s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 82 to 87.
South winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-071230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1257 PM MDT Mon Oct 6 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........72-77 percent.
* 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....78-83.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........34-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (104000 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain
showers through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....56-61.
* Max humidity........88-93 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers through the day. Slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....74-79.
* Min humidity........40-45 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (72600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 76 to 81.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows near 60. Highs 79 to 84. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Highs 81 to 86. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-071230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1257 PM MDT Mon Oct 6 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....42-47.
* Below 7500 ft....48-53.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....93-98 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* 24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....58-63.
* Below 7500 ft....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
* 24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3000-4100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (34000 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....41-46.
* Below 7500 ft....48-53.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....96-100 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-62.
* Below 7500 ft....65-70.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600-5000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (34500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 46 to 51. Highs 66 to 71. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 69 to 74. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 72 to 77.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-071230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1257 PM MDT Mon Oct 6 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200,
then partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
* Max temperature.....82-86.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........30-34 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115400 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Slight
chance of showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....62-66.
* Max humidity........76-81 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Max temperature.....78-82.
* Min humidity........37-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (90600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs near 80.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in
the lower to mid 80s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
to upper 80s. South winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-071230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
1257 PM MDT Mon Oct 6 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........86-91 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....79-84.
* 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........35-40 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77600 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Slight
chance of rain showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....57-62.
* Max humidity........92-97 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Max temperature.....74-79.
* Min humidity........44-49 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 76 to 81. East
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 79 to 84. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 81 to 86. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
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