Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
959
FNUS54 KEPZ 211944
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
144 PM MDT Mon Jul 21 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Increased moisture and weak disturbance aloft leading to increase
storm coverage today and tomorrow. Storms will be capable of
heavy rain and flooding of mountain canyons and creeks. Strong,
erratic wind gusts associated with outflow boundaries and cloud-
to-ground lightning will be a secondary threat. Rain showers will
linger into the overnight hours. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph today
leading to Good ventilation. Min RH 30-40%. Conditions begin to
dry out Thursday into the weekend with much lower (10-20%)
coverage over mountains.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-221215-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
144 PM MDT Mon Jul 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....80-85.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700-7300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (61100 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....78-83 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....76-81 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....71-76.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (112600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 82 to 87. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 85 to 90. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 86 to 91. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-221215-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
144 PM MDT Mon Jul 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........72-77 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........33-38 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (80100 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* Max humidity........71-76 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........19-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (134300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs
91 to 96. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 94 to
99. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 95 to 100.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-221215-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
144 PM MDT Mon Jul 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........73-78 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78200 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* Max humidity........75-80 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (110400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
91 to 96. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs
93 to 98. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-221215-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
144 PM MDT Mon Jul 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....87-92 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....69-74.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....51-56 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......6300-7600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (71100 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....90-95 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800-7600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 81 to 86. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 83 to 88. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-221215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
144 PM MDT Mon Jul 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms through the night.
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........73-78 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....86-90.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........33-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (71200 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* Max humidity........70-75 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....89-93.
* Min humidity........24-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (102600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs in the 90s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
to upper 90s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs
96 to 100. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-221215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
144 PM MDT Mon Jul 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms through the night.
* Min temperature.....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........79-84 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........38-43 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 7900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69700 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-69.
* Max humidity........80-85 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....85-90.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 92 to 97. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
Dennhardt