Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
045
FNUS54 KEPZ 281133
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
533 AM MDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Unsettled weather will prevail today with a round of morning
showers and thunderstorms, followed by an additional round in the
afternoon. The greatest coverage of storms will favor areas along
and east of the Rio Grande Valley. Some storms may become strong
to severe in the afternoon. Storms will also be capable of heavy
rainfall, enhancing the burn scar flash flooding risk,
particularly in the Sacramento Mountains. A warming and drying
trend will take hold on Monday, but minimum humidity will stay
well above critical thresholds in the presence of light winds.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-281900-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
533 AM MDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....62-67.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 7400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (83400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the evening. Slight chance of rain showers
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....42-47.
* Below 7500 ft....48-53.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....85-90 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....89-94 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning. Chance of
rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....63-68.
* Below 7500 ft....71-76.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (62300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 52. Highs 71 to 76. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 47 to 52. Highs 74 to 79. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 76 to 81. South winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-281900-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
533 AM MDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers until 1200, then chance of
rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....77-81.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........38-43 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (58000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Slight chance of rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....56-58.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........90-95 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning.
* Max temperature.....76-80.
* Min humidity........40-45 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (57700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs in
the lower to mid 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs in the
lower to mid 80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs in the
mid to upper 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-281900-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
533 AM MDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
until 1200, then rain showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....73-78.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........54-59 percent.
* 24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 5900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (45900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....55-59.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........94-99 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....74-79.
* Min humidity........47-52 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (52100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs
77 to 82. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 81 to 86.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 83 to
88. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-281900-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
533 AM MDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1200,
then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-62.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* 24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500-4100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (38400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....41-46.
* Below 7500 ft....48-53.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-62.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500-5800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (42400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 50. Highs 69 to 74. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 73 to 78. West winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 74 to 79. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-281900-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
533 AM MDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
until 1200, then rain showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....76-80.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........55-60 percent.
* 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000-5800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (51500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....Around 60.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........91-96 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning, then slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....76-80.
* Min humidity........47-51 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (61400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Highs in the lower to mid
80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid to
upper 80s. South winds 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid to
upper 80s. Southeast winds 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-281900-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
533 AM MDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max temperature.....71-76.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........67-72 percent.
* 24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300-4500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (42700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....55-59.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........95-100 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the day. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....73-78.
* Min humidity........52-57 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (55300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 57. Highs 76 to 81. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 81 to 86.
Southwest winds 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 82 to
87. Southeast winds 5 mph.
$$