Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
504
FNUS54 KEPZ 151901
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
101 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Modest low level moisture will remain around the region through
the period with the main thunderstorm focus being west of the
Divide through Wednesday then areawide going into the end of the
week. Locally heavy rain will be possible with any storm as motion
will be very slow. Min RH`s will be mainly in the 20s and 30s
through Saturday before starting to drop back off early next week.
Gusty outflow winds will be possible each afternoon, but the
general wind flow is expected to be below 15 mph.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-161230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
101 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87200 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....83-88.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...80 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (94700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 55 to 60. Highs 81 to 86. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 82 to 87. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
57 to 62. Highs 83 to 88. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-161230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
101 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........68-73 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (139800 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-69.
* Max humidity........71-76 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (101100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 90 to 95. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 91 to 96. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 91 to 96. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-161230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
101 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (107400 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* Min humidity........23-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (103800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 89 to 94. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 92 to 97. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 93 to 98. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-161230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
101 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (54500 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......6000-7000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (55600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 78 to 83. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 81 to 86. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
58 to 63. Highs 83 to 88. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-161230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
101 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....72-74.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........56-61 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-99.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (106000 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....70-72.
* Max humidity........64-69 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* Min humidity........24-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (81400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the mid to upper 90s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the mid to
upper 90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-161230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
101 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91700 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* Max humidity........74-79 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* Min humidity........28-33 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (67300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 87 to 92. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 90 to 95. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 92 to 97. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
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