Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
219
FNUS54 KEPZ 212042
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
142 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025
.DISCUSSION...
The region rests between storm systems tonight and most of Saturday
as we see dry weather and near seasonal fall temperatures. Winds will
continue light through midday Saturday. After a cool overnight, with
good RH recovery, we will see a slightly warmer day Saturday, with
slightly lower minRH, more clouds moving in, and winds shifting to
easterly. We expect some breezy and gusty east winds overnight into
Sunday morning. The next Pacific storm system will arrive in the early
evening tomorrow, with precipitation developing over western areas,
spreading east across the entire region through the night. The best
rain/snow chances will be from Saturday evening through early Sunday
afternoon. Snow will remain above 8000ft, and both rain and snow amounts
should be light, below 1/3" and 2" respectively. The storm exits Sunday
afternoon with a dry weather pattern, steady seasonal temperatures, light
winds, and RH in the 20-30 percent range each day, through all of next
week.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-221445-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
142 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....27-32.
* Below 7500 ft....31-36.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 5700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (113900 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms and snow showers through the
night. Rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....30-34.
* Below 7500 ft....35-40.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....93-98 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 36 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers and snow showers in the morning, then
slight chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....38-43.
* Below 7500 ft....47-52.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 36 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700-5000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 29 to 34. Highs 51 to 56. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 28 to 33. Highs 54 to 59. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 28 to 33. Highs 54 to 59. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-221445-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
142 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....34-39.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........72-77 percent.
* 24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....62-67.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........29-34 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......2900-4800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....East around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (83700 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Rain showers
likely after midnight.
* Min temperature.....39-43.
* Max humidity........89-94 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning.
* Max temperature.....56-61.
* Min humidity........46-51 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (103900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Highs 58 to
63. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 32 to 37. Highs in the lower to mid 60s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the lower to mid
60s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-221445-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
142 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....33-38.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........74-79 percent.
* 24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....62-67.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
east in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (62800 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the evening, then chance
of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....41-45.
* Max humidity........90-95 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 36 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning.
* Max temperature.....58-63.
* Min humidity........43-48 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 35 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (110800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 34 to 39. Highs 59 to 64. West winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 33 to 38. Highs 59 to 64. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 32 to 37. Highs 58 to 63. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-221445-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
142 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....27-32.
* Below 7500 ft....30-35.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....56-60.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......2600-3900 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (42600 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....30-35.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....95-100 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....93-98 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Rain showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the morning, then slight chance of rain
showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....41-46.
* Below 7500 ft....51-56.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....50-55 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (118000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 31 to 36. Highs 51 to 56. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 30 to 35. Highs 52 to 57. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 27 to 32. Highs 51 to 56. West
winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-221445-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
142 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....38-42.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 1100,
then mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........26-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78300 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....47-49.
* Max humidity........82-87 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning.
* Max temperature.....61-65.
* Min humidity........38-43 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (106100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows near 40. Highs in the lower to mid 60s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Highs
in the lower to mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 40. Highs in the lower to
mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-221445-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
142 PM MST Fri Nov 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....36-41.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......2600-4500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....East around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (71800 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....44-48.
* Max humidity........94-99 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning.
* Max temperature.....62-67.
* Min humidity........37-42 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (125100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows near 40. Highs 59 to 64. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Highs
62 to 67. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Highs
59 to 64. East winds around 5 mph.
$$