Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
144
FNUS54 KEPZ 152047
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
147 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Dry and mild ridge moving out tonight as a Pacific trough begins
to move into the region Sunday. We see more clouds, the beginning
of cooler temperatures, and climbing relative humidity. Tomorrow,
winds will increase to breezy, and marginally windy, in response to
the approaching trough. Most of the area will stay dry, but there
may be some late day showers over the Gila. Monday looks seasonal
and dry, and continued marginally breezy. The next system arrives
Tuesday, with showers possible west. This system slowly passes through
the region Wedneday and Thursday, with all areas seeing chances for
rain and mountain snow. Generally light precipitation amounts, with
plenty of clouds, cool temperatures, and elevated RH.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-161415-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
147 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....36-41.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....78-83 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....76-81 percent.
* 24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
* 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 7300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (160700 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....30-35.
* Below 7500 ft....35-40.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....90-95 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (72000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 34 to 39. Highs 51 to 56. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers, snow showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 34 to 39. Highs 45 to
50. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Lows 28 to 33. Highs 45 to 50. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-161415-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
147 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....44-48.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........75-80 percent.
* 24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....70-75.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 10 mph
increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (204500 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....40-44.
* Max humidity........92-97 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....65-70.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (95300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows near 40. Highs 62 to 67. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs 57 to 62.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s
to lower 40s. Highs 55 to 60. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-161415-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
147 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....43-48.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........64-69 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....71-76.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........27-31 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (176700 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....41-45.
* Max humidity........89-94 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 33 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....65-70.
* Min humidity........29-34 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 33 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 6800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (102500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40 to 45. Highs 63 to 68.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows near
40. Highs 60 to 65. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 40. Highs
56 to 61. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-161415-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
147 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....39-44.
* Below 7500 ft....43-48.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....55-60.
* Below 7500 ft....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (137700 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....34-39.
* Below 7500 ft....39-43.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....90-95 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 39 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 35 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400-6100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (112900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 37 to 42. Highs 55 to 60.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Lows 35 to 40. Highs 52 to 57. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Lows 32 to 37. Highs 47 to 52. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-161415-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
147 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....46-50.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........67-72 percent.
* 24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....74-78.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........26-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (112400 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....46-48.
* Max humidity........86-91 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....68-72.
* Min humidity........32-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 6900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (96000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 40s. Highs in
the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower to mid 40s. Highs in the mid to upper 60s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
to mid 40s. Highs near 60. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-161415-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
147 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....45-49.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........67-72 percent.
* 24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....73-78.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (100800 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....43-47.
* Max humidity........90-95 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....68-73.
* Min humidity........33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (114900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Highs
67 to 72. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower to mid 40s. Highs 65 to 70. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Highs 57 to 62. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$