Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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500
FNUS54 KEPZ 101220
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
620 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.DISCUSSION...
The region is in a brief dry spell, that will continue today, with
most of the area staying free from rain or storms, seeing only fair
weather clouds. The Gila region may see a few pop-up afternoon storms
that will drift north. Afternoon temperatures will be near seasonal
today and tomorrow, before cooling below normal Sunday into next week.
Tomorrow deep tropical moisture will begin to wash in from the west.
Expect abundant clouds and developing showers and storms staring over
SW New Mexico, and advancing east through the afternoon and evening.
Much cooler and wetter conditions will dominate starting Saturday night,
and lasting through Tuesday. Expect widespread wetting rain, with very
elevated RH, lighter SW winds, and poor dispersion. By Wednesday drier
conditions should move in, especially over western areas by Wednesday.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.


NMZ110-101900-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
620 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....64-69.
*    Below 7500 ft....73-78.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....49-54 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000-6800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99000 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                      mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....49-53.
*    Below 7500 ft....54-59.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....81-86 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                      showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                      the morning, then rain showers likely and
                      chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....64-69.
*    Below 7500 ft....74-79.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700-6500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (90900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 51 to
56. Highs 64 to 69. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 63 to 68. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 55. Highs 66 to 71. South winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NMZ111-101900-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
620 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....81-86.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........32-36 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (130800 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                      mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-66.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
*    24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
                      then rain showers likely and chance of
                      thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....81-86.
* Min humidity........40-45 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4800-6700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (76900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
near 60. Highs 68 to 73. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
near 60. Highs 68 to 73. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid to upper
70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-101900-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
620 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....78-83.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........38-43 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (95200 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....59-63.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........70-75 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                      mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                      of rain showers in the morning. Chance of
                      rain showers and slight chance of
                      thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....81-86.
* Min humidity........35-40 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 70 to 75. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs 69 to 74.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 74 to 79.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-101900-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
620 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....61-66.
*    Below 7500 ft....70-75.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....47-52 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900-6600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (74800 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                      mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....45-50.
*    Below 7500 ft....51-56.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....89-94 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
*    24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                      showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                      the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....64-69.
*    Below 7500 ft....73-78.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....55-60 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92000 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 52 to 57. Highs 64 to 69. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 59 to 64. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 52. Highs 64 to 69. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-101900-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
620 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....81-85.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........36-40 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (111100 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-66.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                      mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers through the day. Slight chance of
                      thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....84-88.
* Min humidity........32-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (86600 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower to mid
70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower to mid 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs near 80. Southeast winds around
5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-101900-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
620 AM MDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....78-83.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........42-47 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92800 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....57-62.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........78-83 percent.
*    24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                      mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....82-87.
* Min humidity........35-40 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs
72 to 77. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 73 to 78. East winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 77 to 82. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$