Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
903
FNUS54 KEPZ 212009
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
209 PM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025
.DISCUSSION...
The dry air continues to move into the region. We will see a few
thunderstorms this afternoon, mainly across the Gila region. Even
drier air will arrive later in the week. Rain chances for Friday
through Monday will be very limited. Min RH`s this afternoon will
be in the 20`s in the lowlands and in the 30`s in area mountains,
but by Saturday min RH`s will be in the teens in the lowlands and
in the 20`s in area mountains. Winds will generally be from the
east or southeast, but well below critical levels through the next
5 days. Moisture and rain chances look to return to the forecast
next week.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-221300-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
209 PM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....22-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93100 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....19-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (95200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows
57 to 62. Highs 82 to 87. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows
58 to 63. Highs 82 to 87. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 77 to 82. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-221300-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
209 PM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........52-57 percent.
* 24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....90-94.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (119100 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* Max humidity........46-51 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-95.
* Min humidity........16-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 13400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (127900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 90 to
95. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 90 to
95. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 85 to 90.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-221300-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
209 PM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........59-64 percent.
* 24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (90900 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* Max humidity........52-57 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (116900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to
94. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to
94. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-221300-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
209 PM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....80-85 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78100 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....81-86.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (107600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 79 to 84. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
56 to 61. Highs 79 to 84. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 76 to 81. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-221300-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
209 PM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-95.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (117200 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 70.
* Max humidity........46-51 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-95.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 13300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (130400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid
90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs near 90. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-221300-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
209 PM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-67.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........73-78 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........24-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (98200 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....62-67.
* Max humidity........63-68 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (136500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 87 to 92.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 88 to 93. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$