Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
921
FNUS54 KEPZ 281117
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
517 AM MDT Tue Jul 28 2026
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Low fire weather concerns continue with thunderstorm chances
returning this afternoon and evening, though mostly focused west
of the Rio Grande. High temperatures will stay 5-10 degrees above
normal for this time of year, with generally light winds. Thunder-
storm chances will wane mid-week, but will increase again towards
the weekend.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-281830-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
517 AM MDT Tue Jul 28 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....82-87.
* Below 7500 ft....92-97.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (107500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-62.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....65-70 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....81-86.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (76900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 67. Highs 89 to 94. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 68. Highs 90 to 95. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 68. Highs 88 to 93. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-281830-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
517 AM MDT Tue Jul 28 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1100,
then mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....70-74.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........58-63 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* Min humidity........18-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 99 to 104.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 100 to 105. North winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 97 to 102. East winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-281830-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
517 AM MDT Tue Jul 28 2026
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....100-105.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........15-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (101800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....72-76.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........49-54 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* Min humidity........15-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (94300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs
99 to 104. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 100 to 105.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 97 to 102.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-281830-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
517 AM MDT Tue Jul 28 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....82-87.
* Below 7500 ft....93-98.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-62.
* Below 7500 ft....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....52-57 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-85.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (107700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 89 to 94. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
63 to 68. Highs 89 to 94. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 67. Highs 87 to 92. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-281830-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
517 AM MDT Tue Jul 28 2026
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....102-106.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....76-78.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........47-52 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....101-105.
* Min humidity........14-16 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (96500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs
101 to 105. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs 102 to 106.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs 100 to 104. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-281830-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
517 AM MDT Tue Jul 28 2026
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........16-18 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (95500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....71-76.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........53-58 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........16-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69 to 74. Highs 97 to 102. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70 to 75. Highs 99 to 104. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 71 to 76. Highs 97 to 102. East winds around
5 mph.
$$