Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
797
FNUS54 KEPZ 311145
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
545 AM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.DISCUSSION...
With high pressure building over the region, the environment will
make a slow transition to warmer and drier conditions over the next
several days, but for today we still retain plenty of moisture to
see another round of scattered to numerous mountain rain and storms,
and at least isolated lowland storms. Temperatures will start a slow
and steady climb, as relative humidity begins a more rapid, and steady
decline. By the weekend, we should be dry enough that most locations
will be dry and storm-free, with well above normal temperatures, and
lowland minRH back down into the teens. Ventilation will diminish due
to lighter winds aloft.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-311815-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
545 AM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....82-87.
* 24 hr trend......Little change.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......6500-8400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (50400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-56.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....76-81 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....75-80 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
c
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (62400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 87 to 92. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 88 to 93. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-311815-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
545 AM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........31-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (58600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....64-68.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........71-76 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs in the
90s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs
97 to 102. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-311815-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
545 AM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....88-93.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (51600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........68-73 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....89-94.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (83700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs
92 to 97. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-311815-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
545 AM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....68-73.
* Below 7500 ft....76-81.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....62-67 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500-6400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (39600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....87-92 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....50-55 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 82 to 87. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 87 to 92. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-311815-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
545 AM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (66000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....72-74.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........52-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in
the mid to upper 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 97 to 101.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 99 to 103.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-311815-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
545 AM MDT Thu Jul 31 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........23-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-72.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (103800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67 to 72. Highs 91 to 96.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 97 to
102. West winds around 5 mph.
$$