868
FNUS54 KEPZ 071804
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1204 PM MDT Mon Sep 7 2026

.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will be low through the week. Storm chances
will be limited through midweek, mainly dry today for the lowlands.
Gusty outflows and brief downpours are the main threats today out
west. Storm chances increase a bit Tuesday, favoring northwest.
Winds will be light from the southeast tomorrow. Better storm
chances return into Thursday with storm motion from the north and
strong wind gusts possible. Temperatures will be seasonably warm
this week.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.



NMZ110-081130-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1204 PM MDT Mon Sep 7 2026

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....53-58.
*    Below 7500 ft....60-65.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....75-80 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1100, then
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....74-79.
*    Below 7500 ft....80-89.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (51900 knot-ft).

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....55-60.
*    Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers and
                      thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....76-81.
*    Below 7500 ft....82-91.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...70 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (53300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
59 to 64. Highs 82 to 87. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 82 to 87. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 81 to 86. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-081130-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1204 PM MDT Mon Sep 7 2026

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....67-71.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (61500 knot-ft).

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* Max humidity........61-66 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      west after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
                      in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (65700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 91 to 96. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 90 to 95. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 89 to 94.
West winds around 10 mph.

$$

NMZ112-081130-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1204 PM MDT Mon Sep 7 2026

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........60-65 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (61400 knot-ft).

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* Max humidity........56-61 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 91 to 96. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-081130-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1204 PM MDT Mon Sep 7 2026

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....51-56.
*    Below 7500 ft....57-64.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....75-90 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....70-85 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1100, then
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....73-78.
*    Below 7500 ft....80-89.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....33-48 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....29-44 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (60900 knot-ft).

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....52-59.
*    Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....72-87 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....67-82 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers and
                      thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....74-79.
*    Below 7500 ft....80-90.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....33-48 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....28-43 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...60 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (62300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 81 to 86. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 84 to 89. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 84 to 89. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-081130-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
1204 PM MDT Mon Sep 7 2026

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....73-75.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........53-58 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....93-97.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70400 knot-ft).

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....73-75.
* Max humidity........52-57 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-98.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the 90s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid to upper
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
to upper 90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-081130-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
1204 PM MDT Mon Sep 7 2026

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-73.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........67-72 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-96.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........26-30 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68000 knot-ft).

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (67700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 91 to 96. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 92 to 97. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

Aronson