Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
308
FNUS54 KEPZ 191011
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
411 AM MDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will be low for the rest of the week.
Scattered storms develop over area mountains this afternoon,
drifting southwest. Gusty and erratic outflow winds are possible
along with brief downpours and frequent lightning. Mainly dry for
the lowlands. Prevailing winds will be light and variable today.
Warm temperatures and fair to good ventilation is forecast.
Isolated to scattered storms expected for Thursday, then trending
drier into the weekend and remaining warmer than normal.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-192015-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
411 AM MDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-88.
* Below 7500 ft....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (88500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-60.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....59-64 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-88.
* Below 7500 ft....89-94.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 64. Highs 86 to 91. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-192015-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
411 AM MDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........14-18 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (71600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* Min humidity........14-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 13100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-192015-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
411 AM MDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........13-17 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 13400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (74500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........41-46 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* Min humidity........14-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-192015-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
411 AM MDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....78-85.
* Below 7500 ft....86-94.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....18-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 13000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....55-60.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....59-64 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....78-86.
* Below 7500 ft....87-92.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (76500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 87 to 92. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-192015-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
411 AM MDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-101.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........14-16 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (63700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....72-74.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........35-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-103.
* Min humidity........13-15 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 14300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (132600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 98 to
102. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 97 to 101.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 97 to 101. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-192015-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
411 AM MDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........14-16 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (61900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........38-43 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* Min humidity........14-16 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (150900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 95 to 100. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 95 to 100. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
Aronson