Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
191
FNUS54 KEPZ 161239
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
539 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Southwest winds will strengthen today as a storm system traverses
the western CONUS. Wind gusts up to 35 mph will peak between 1400
and 1600 MST, the highest gusts favoring the Gila high terrain.
Moisture will increase ahead of the system, with minRH 10 to 20
percent higher compared to Saturday`s values. An isolated shower
or two will favor northwestern zones, but wetting rainfall is
unlikely. Brisk west winds will prevail Monday with the frontal
passage. Another storm system will move into the area Tuesday
through Thursday, bringing the likelihood for more widespread
precipitation.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-162100-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
539 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....55-60 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
* 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (171000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....30-35.
* Below 7500 ft....35-40.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....91-96 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph decreasing
to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 33 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (81900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows
35 to 40. Highs 52 to 57. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers, snow showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 35 to 40. Highs 47 to
52. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Lows 30 to 35. Highs 43 to 48. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-162100-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
539 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....71-76.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........31-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (201500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....41-45.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........89-94 percent.
* 24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph decreasing
to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....65-70.
* Min humidity........31-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 6900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (114700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Highs
63 to 68. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
to mid 40s. Highs 59 to 64. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 40. Highs
53 to 58. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-162100-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
539 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....72-77.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........27-31 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 10 mph
increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 8500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (175000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....43-47.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........83-88 percent.
* 24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 20 mph
decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 35 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....65-70.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (117200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 42 to 47. Highs 64 to 69.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows in
the lower to mid 40s. Highs 62 to 67. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 40. Highs 54 to 59. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-162100-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
539 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....55-60.
* Below 7500 ft....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 7300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (136900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....33-38.
* Below 7500 ft....40-45.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....90-95 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83 percent.
* 24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 40 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 33 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300-5900 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (112800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 37 to 42. Highs 56 to 61.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 36 to 41. Highs 54 to 59.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Lows 33 to 38. Highs 45 to 50. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-162100-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
539 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....74-78.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........27-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 50.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........80-85 percent.
* 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....68-72.
* Min humidity........34-36 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (102800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows near 50. Highs near 70. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid to upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs near 60. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-162100-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
539 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....73-78.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (104100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....45-49.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........84-89 percent.
* 24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....68-73.
* Min humidity........33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (121500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs 68 to 73.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid to upper 40s. Highs 67 to 72. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 42 to 47. Highs 55 to 60. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$