Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
432
FXUS64 KEPZ 042026 AAA
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
126 PM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 120 PM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

 - Cooler high temperatures Thursday, with cold temperatures
   Thursday and Friday night.

 - Dry conditions, typical breezes, and a slow warming trend are
   expected through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1017 AM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

Shortwave trough is swinging across New Mexico, en route to the
Great Plains. Cooler temperatures and slightly drier air will
follow in its wake, along with decreasing clouds and lighter
winds. Those clear and calm conditions will lead to enhanced
radiative cooling Thursday night (and Friday night), especially
for valley locations. Daytime temperatures will rebound 2F to 7F
Friday, staying below normal for most locales. Additional warming
is expected heading into Saturday, bringing temperatures closer
to normal, with the RGV and surrounding areas climbing a few to
several degrees above seasonal averages.

A regime of northwest flow will set up behind the trough`s ejection
into the Great Plains on Sunday, lasting through the end of the
forecast period. This will bring a slow drying trend and warm-up, as
well as some locally breezy conditions for mountain areas and their
adjacent highlands.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1017 AM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

VFR conditions to prevail throughout the TAF period with light
winds and decreasing clouds.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 120 PM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

A trough exiting into the Great Plains today will usher in a
regime of northwest flow aloft and drier air. High minRH seen
today will trend down slowly throughout the forecast period,
settling into widespread upper teens by Tuesday. Locally breezy
west winds will favor the high terrain and its adjacent highlands
of eastern zones on Friday and Saturday. Winds will trend lighter
into the next work week. Ventilation will be poor to fair most
days, with Friday seeing better coverage of good rates in the
afternoon.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  39  63  36  64 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            35  58  32  59 /  10  10   0   0
Las Cruces               31  58  29  60 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               29  55  28  58 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               20  36  21  41 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    29  55  31  60 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              28  51  28  54 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   31  60  28  63 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                28  56  26  58 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       40  61  37  62 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                28  63  26  64 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             38  66  35  67 /  10  10   0   0
Loma Linda               35  54  33  55 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   37  63  33  64 /  10   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             35  60  31  61 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           37  60  36  62 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            24  57  22  61 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    27  61  27  65 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 37  63  34  65 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                30  56  27  59 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  24  50  27  54 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                21  46  23  51 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 22  45  23  49 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  16  52  20  59 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                29  56  31  63 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                24  55  24  59 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             20  51  21  55 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   27  54  26  57 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    21  57  20  61 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               22  53  22  56 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  30  54  30  58 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   32  59  29  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  31  58  27  61 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           35  60  31  63 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               38  54  34  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...99