Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
994 FXUS64 KEPZ 061125 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 425 AM MST Sat Dec 6 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 412 AM MST Sat Dec 6 2025 - Dry conditions, typical breezes, and a slow warming trend are expected through the weekend and into next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1001 PM MST Fri Dec 5 2025 No changes from previous forecast packages as a quiet weather pattern anchors over the Desert SW through the weekend and into next week. For the weekend, strengthening upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific will promote dry northwesterly flow over the Borderland Region. All in all, expected quiet and fair weather conditions this weekend. High temperatures Saturday and Sunday afternoons will be above the seasonal average, topping out in the low to middle 60s. Cloud coverage will be a minimum with instances of high level cirrus from time to time this weekend. Winds on Saturday will be low-end breezy as an upper level trough passes well to our north, fostering northwest breezes of 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph during the afternoon. Light winds expected on Sunday. Temperatures each morning will be chilly across the area as a whole, with lows dropping below freezing across the majority of the forecast area. Temperatures Saturday morning across the El Paso metro will drop into the middle 30s, very similar to Friday morning where El Paso International Airport had a low of 34 degrees. For next week, pleasant weather conditions will continue with no significant weather impacts. Temperatures will continue to warm, with highs around 70 degrees across the desert lowlands Tuesday through Friday, 10-17 degrees above the seasonal average! Enjoy it, I know this northerner certainly will. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 412 AM MST Sat Dec 6 2025 VFR conditions will persist with SKC. Breezy west southwest winds can be expected this afternoon with the peak of the winds being mid afternoon with speeds generally 15-18G25-28KT. Some lingering breeziness expected after sunset but winds will continue to diminish heading into late evening. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 340 AM MST Sat Dec 6 2025 Low fire danger through the week ahead. Min RH values will stay above critical thresholds with values of 20-30% in the lowlands and 30-40% in the mountains the next few days. Isolated locations of critical min RHs expected each afternoon Tuesday through Thursday, mostly on east facing slopes of mountains. The breeziest day of the week will be today with 20 foot winds out of the west generally 5-15 mph during the afternoon. Each day after that will have light winds at 5-10 mph. Dry conditions will persist with no rain in sight. Temperatures will be near normal leaning above average today but each day will gradually warm through the week. Temperatures will be 10-18 degrees above average by Thursday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 66 37 65 38 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 61 32 62 32 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 61 32 62 32 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 61 31 62 33 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 42 24 44 26 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 60 33 59 34 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 59 33 61 33 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 65 32 65 32 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 61 31 63 32 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 64 38 63 39 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 64 27 65 29 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 68 34 68 34 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 58 35 58 37 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 66 33 66 33 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 63 32 62 33 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 63 39 63 39 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 61 29 62 30 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 64 29 65 30 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 65 34 65 36 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 60 30 59 31 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 55 26 58 31 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 53 26 55 28 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 53 24 53 26 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 56 24 59 27 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 61 34 62 34 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 60 28 61 29 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 59 28 62 28 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 61 31 62 32 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 65 28 67 30 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 61 28 63 30 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 60 34 61 34 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 63 32 65 33 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 63 30 64 32 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 64 34 65 34 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 61 37 63 38 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ FORECASTER...37-Slusher