Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
158 FXUS64 KEPZ 041731 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1031 AM MST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1017 AM MST Thu Dec 4 2025 - Cooler high temperatures Thursday, with cold temperatures Thursday and Friday night. - Dry conditions, typical breezes, and a slow warming trend are expected through the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1017 AM MST Thu Dec 4 2025 Shortwave trough is swinging across New Mexico, en route to the Great Plains. Cooler temperatures and slightly drier air will follow in its wake, along with decreasing clouds and lighter winds. Those clear and calm conditions will lead to enhanced radiative cooling Thursday night (and Friday night), especially for valley locations. Daytime temperatures will rebound 2F to 7F Friday, staying below normal for most locales. Additional warming is expected heading into Saturday, bringing temperatures closer to normal, with the RGV and surrounding areas climbing a few to several degrees above seasonal averages. A regime of northwest flow will set up behind the trough`s ejection into the Great Plains on Sunday, lasting through the end of the forecast period. This will bring a slow drying trend and warm-up, as well as some locally breezy conditions for mountain areas and their adjacent highlands. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1017 AM MST Thu Dec 4 2025 VFR conditions to prevail throughout the TAF period with light winds and decreasing clouds. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 430 AM MST Thu Dec 4 2025 Fire weather concerns will continue to be minimal. Wind into the start of next week, will be light during the afternoon hours. Min RH`s today will be above 30% almost everywhere, but we will see a slow drying trend through the weekend, so that by the start of next week we will see min RH`s in the mid to upper teens in the lowlands and in the mid 20`s in the mountains. Ventilation rates today will be poor to fair, but improve to good on Friday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 39 63 36 64 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 35 58 32 59 / 10 10 0 0 Las Cruces 31 58 29 60 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 29 55 28 58 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 20 36 21 41 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 29 55 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 28 51 28 54 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 31 60 28 63 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 28 56 26 58 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 40 61 37 62 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 28 63 26 64 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 38 66 35 67 / 10 10 0 0 Loma Linda 35 54 33 55 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 37 63 33 64 / 10 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 35 60 31 61 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 37 60 36 62 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 24 57 22 61 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 27 61 27 65 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 37 63 34 65 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 30 56 27 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 24 50 27 54 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 21 46 23 51 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 22 45 23 49 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 16 52 20 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 29 56 31 63 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 24 55 24 59 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 20 51 21 55 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 27 54 26 57 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 21 57 20 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 22 53 22 56 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 30 54 30 58 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 32 59 29 62 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 31 58 27 61 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 35 60 31 63 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 38 54 34 55 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ FORECASTER...99